The New York Yankees (9-2) and Philadelphia Phillies (2-4) wrap up a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park Thursday at 6:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Yankees-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Wednesday: The two split a doubleheader with Philly taking the opener 11-7 and New York winning the nightcap 3-1. The Yankees won the series opener 6-3 Monday.
Yankees at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Montgomery this season: 1-0, 1.59 ERA (1 start)
- Last start: Win, 1 ER, 5 2/3 IP, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K vs. Boston Red Sox Friday – Yankees won 5-1
- Last season: 0-0, 6.75 ERA (3 ER, 4 IP) in 2 games (1 start) after recovering from 2018 Tommy John surgery
Eflin is making his 2020 season debut
- Last season: 10-13, 4.13 ERA (75 ER, 163 1/3 IP) 129 K in 32 games (28 starts)
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 0.00 ERA, tossed 7 scoreless innings, allowing 4 hits in 3-0 home win June 27, 2018
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Yankees at Phillies: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Yankees
- RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) cleared, but doubtful
- RP Tommy Kahnle (forearm) out
- C Gary Sanchez (elbow) questionable
Phillies
- RP Reggie McClain (paternity list) doubtful
- RP Seranthony Dominguez (Tommy John surgery) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Yankees at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Yankees 7, Phillies 2
Moneyline (ML)
The YANKEES (-154) are the STRONGEST PLAY vs. the Phillies (+140) in the series finale. Montgomery gives New York an edge in the starting pitching matchup, while RF Aaron Judge (7 home runs in the first 11 games) and Co. feature the more potent offense. The Yankees’ .257 batting average ranks 4th in the majors, while the Phillies’ are 10th at .241.
New to sports betting? It will take a $15.40 bet to profit $10 on the Yankees ML if they win. A $10 bet on the Phillies ML would profit $14 if they prevail.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The YANKEES -1.5 (-110) are worth a small wager if you don’t want to put it all on the ML. New York is 8-3 vs. the run line so far this season, while the Phillies +1.5 (-110) are 2-4.
Over/Under (O/U)
AVOID. The O/U is 10 with odds of -110 on both sides. The number is just about right – as long as the Yankees bats do their part. The Yankees are averaging 5.55 runs per game this season, while the Phillies are scoring 6.0 runs per game – though they’ve only played six games so far.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 15-8 |
| 2020 overall record | 55-34-1 |
| Strongest plays | 29-14 |
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