Ravens mock draft – probability edition: Picking the best player available most often

A comprehensive look at which players will be available most often for the Baltimore Ravens in the 2020 NFL Draft and creating a mock draft

It’s almost here. The 2020 NFL Draft is just over a week away and everyone is chomping at the bit to know what the Baltimore Ravens will do. In a world of a million mock drafts, I decided to take a deeper look into the possibilities that players will actually be available for Baltimore.

For this mock draft, I ran three different mock draft simulators — The Draft Network, Mock Draft Database and eight different big boards on FanSpeak — to find the probability a player would be available for the Ravens when they’re on the board. I didn’t account for any trades in this mock and every player named in it was either the best player available, a positional need, or a combination of the two.

The hope is we’ll see which options will realistically still be on the board so we can better guess which way Baltimore will go in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images

1st Round, Pick 28

LB Kenneth Murray, Oklahoma – Available 40% of the time

Murray was the most frequently available player at No. 28. The only player close to his frequency was fellow linebacker Patrick Queen (20% of the time). Between the two linebackers, the Ravens took a linebacker 60% of the time.

Murray is blazing fast for a linebacker, running a 4.5-second 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. However, his decision-making skills are the biggest knock against him, seeing him susceptible to getting roped in by play action.

Murray had the benefit of playing behind a talented defensive line at Oklahoma and if the Ravens drafted him, he certainly would benefit from playing behind the likes of Calais Campbell, Matthew Judon, Brandon Williams and Derek Wolfe.

Murray is clearly fast enough but will need to develop better instincts and decision-making skills to really flourish in the NFL.