The Golden State Warriors (14-48) kick off a four-game homestand Thursday night, returning home after a 116-100 win over the Denver Nuggets. They host the Toronto Raptors (43-18), playing the third game of a five-game road trip. Tipoff is Thursday night at 10:30 p.m. ET at Chase Center in San Francisco.
We analyze the Raptors-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Raptors at Warriors: Key injuries
Raptors:
- C Marc Gasol (hamstring) questionable
- C Dewan Hernandez (ankle) out
- F Serge Ibaka (knee) questionable
- G Fred VanVleet (shoulder) questionable
Warriors
- G Ky Bowman (ankle) out
- F Draymond Green (knee) questionable
- C Kevon Looney (hip) out
- F Alen Smailagic (quad) out
- G Klay Thompson (knee) out
Raptors at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Thursday at 10:45 a.m, ET.
Prediction
Raptors 115, Warriors 100
Moneyline (ML)
As expected, the Raptors (-334) are heavy favorites. They are the second-best team in the East, while the Warriors (+260) have the fewest home wins (seven) in the entire league. They have lost nine straight at home. Toronto has 20 road wins this year.
The pick is obvious. Take the Raptors (-334) to win, even though you won’t win a ton. New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Toronto returns a profit of $2.99.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The spread is -7.5 in favor of Toronto. They bounced back from three straight ATS losses with a win and a cover against the Suns on Tuesday, while Golden State has covered two of their last three games. Before that, though, they lost and failed to cover the previous four games.
The Warriors can be tougher at home, going 12-19 ATS at Chase Center. Toronto is 15-14 ATS on the road and 8-7 ATS as a road favorite. With the Warriors still shorthanded, Toronto should be able to roll to a fairly easy win.
Take the RAPTORS at -7.5 (-121).
Over/Under (O/U)
The total is sent at 225.5 points. Warriors games have gone Under in five of their last six games. After hitting the Over in their last two games, Toronto’s previous five all went Under. The Warriors’ home games go Under more often than not with a 13-18 O/U record. The Raptors are 15-13-1 O/U on the road.
With a short bench for the Warriors, they will struggle to keep up. They probably won’t score more than about 100 on the night. Take the UNDER (-115).
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