The Clemson Tigers (11-10) pay a visit to Charlottesville, Va. to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (14-6) Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET in an ACC battle at John Paul Jones Arena. We analyze the Clemson-Virginiaodds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Clemson at Virginia: Three things you need to know
1. Virginia has lost four of its last seven games, and two of those losses were at home. Poor 3-point shooting and an inability to force turnovers have been issues at the forefront of UVA’s woes. The latter has usually been part and parcel as a strength of a terrific all-around defense.
2. Clemson struggles in away games. Over six such contests this season, the Tigers are 1-5 straight up and 2-4 against the spread. Clemson has been thoroughly game-controlled in five of its road efforts (meaning the final result was never in doubt). The Tigers’ rate in getting to the free-throw line has been a major problem in recent road tilts.
3. The Tigers have some road issues to overcome if they are to stay within a couple scores of the Wahoos. Clemson’s last three games away from home consist of a 12-point loss at Wake Forest (Feb. 1), an 18-point loss at Louisville (Jan. 25), and a six-point loss at NC State (Jan. 18). Only the NCSU game was an ATS win, and that was with a back-door cover in garbage time.
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Clemson at Virginia: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Virginia 57, Clemson 52
Moneyline (ML)
PASS. There is a lean toward the Clemson side (+300) but the line doesn’t bring enough value into the risk/reward equation.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Virginia is just 4-8 ATS at home and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a straight-up win. The road team is 5-1 ATS over the last six games in this series.
Clemson is 4-5 over games decided by two scores or less. This contest in Charlottesville could well wind up in that range, but the Tigers are also one of the more inconsistent teams in the ACC. Let’s tag this as a low-confidence lean toward CLEMSON (+8, -115).
Over/Under (O/U)
This figures to be a slower-paced basketball game, and the projected total bears that out. The Over is 4-0 in Clemson’s last four efforts after a SU loss and it is 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage over .600. The latter group includes some top defensive teams.
So, the zag here is backing the OVER 106.5 (-121).
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