The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears will be hunting for playoff position during the 200th edition of the rivalry on Sunday at Lambeau Field.
The Packers, now 10-3, are in the driver’s seat in the NFC North and might need only one more win to clinch a playoff spot. The Bears are 7-6 and in need of three more wins to have a legitimate chance at sneaking into the NFC field.
Here are five things to watch and a prediction for Sunday’s rivalry game in Green Bay:
1. Confuse, contain
Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is coming to Lambeau Field after producing seven total touchdowns in the last two games, both Bears wins. How can the Packers end his hot streak? Confuse him before the snap and contain him in the pocket after the snap. Mike Pettine should disguise as many coverages as possible, give different blitz looks and force hesitation from the Bears quarterback. Everything has been too easy for him the last few games. Then, the Packers have to keep him in the pocket and force him to make throws from confined areas. Rush lanes will be vital. The Packers executed the strategy beautifully in Week 1. Can they do it again?
2. Alerting Aaron Jones
Sunday’s matchup against the Bears defense is a perfect opportunity for the Packers to prove they can keep Aaron Jones involved in a game against a top defense. When he’s rolling, the Packers are an elite offense that can score at will. But when he’s taken away or limited by opportunities, this becomes a much different unit. You can bet the Bears will be focusing their efforts on taking Jones out of the game on Sunday. It will be interesting to see if Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers can conjure ways of keeping him involved and ensuring he’s productive, even if he’s the focal point of the defense.
3. Special teams focus
Special teams could make a huge impact on this game. Not only do the Bears have a pair of dynamic returners who will likely get chances on Sunday, but they also have a young, inexperienced kicker who might not enjoy kicking in the freezing temperatures expected at Lambeau Field. Which team will catch the break? It could decide the outcome. Can Cordarrelle Patterson or Tarik Cohen rip off a big return? And will the steady Mason Crosby give the Packers a big edge in the kicking game?
4. Jaire vs. A-Rob
What a fun battle this could be Sunday. Jaire Alexander and Allen Robinson are two fiercely confident competitors who should see plenty of each other when the Bears pass the football. It’s a matchup both sides will feel they need to win. Can the Bears move the football consistently if Robinson isn’t a factor? The Packers may have Alexander shadow Robinson at times, although that wasn’t in the plan back in Week 1. The second-year cornerback is Mike Pettine’s best option for limiting Robinson’s impact on the game.
5. Craving consistency
Aaron Rodgers said Wednesday that the deciding factor for the Packers offense over the stretch run will be consistency. A visit from the Bears isn’t going to make life easy on the Packers, but it will provide an opportunity to begin building that consistency as the playoffs near. Can they get into manageable third downs? Can they run the football when they want to? Can they protect Rodgers in obvious passing situations? Can secondary targets in the passing game find ways to make plays? These are all foundational parts of building the consistency Rodgers craves.
Prediction: Packers 20, Bears 17 (10-3)
Three areas of focus for the Packers: Getting Aaron Jones going, confusing Mitchell Trubisky and winning in the red zone. The guess here is the Packers get it done against Trubisky and do more than the Bears inside the 20-yard line, and that’ll be enough even if Jones is contained. This will be another ugly one, but is anyone really expecting pretty in a game between the Packers and Bears in December at Lambeau Field? The Packers hold on late and get to 11-3.
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