Falcons-Panthers odds: Carolina favored in NFC South battle

Previewing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers sports betting odds and lines, with Week 11 NFL matchup analysis and picks.

The Atlanta Falcons (2-7) play a second straight NFC South rivalry game in Week 11 when they visit the Carolina Panthers (5-4) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Bank of America Stadium. We analyze the Falcons-Panthers odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Falcons at Panthers: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Falcons returned from their bye at 1-7 and beat the New Orleans Saints 26-9 in a dominant road effort this past Sunday.
  • The Falcons have won the last three and six of the last seven head-to-head meetings dating back to Dec. 27, 2015.
  • Carolina ranks seventh in the NFL with 131.4 team rushing yards per game. Atlanta ranks 29th and is now without starting RB Devonta Freeman for at least two weeks due to a foot sprain.
  • Only nine teams allow more total yards per game than the Falcons at 371.8. Three teams allow more points per game than the 28.8 given up by Atlanta.
  • The Falcons have no interceptions and have surrendered 17 passing touchdowns since Week 3. The Panthers have averaged 1.57 INTs per game since Week 3.
  • The Panthers allow a league-high 83.3% completion rate on opponent passes in the red zone.

Falcons at Panthers: Key injuries

Falcons TE Autin Hooper (knee) joins Freeman on the sideline. CB Desmond Trufant (toe) is questionable after sitting again in Week 10. Backup RB Ito Smith (neck) is out for the season.

Panthers DB James Bradberry (groin) sat out Week 10. DL Kawann Short (shoulder) and QB Cam Newton (foot) are out for the year.

Falcons at Panthers: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Falcons 27, Panthers 24

Moneyline (?)

The Panthers are 2-2 straight up at home while the Falcons improved to 1-4 as the visitors with last week’s road win. While Atlanta is without two key pieces of the offense, it still has red-zone threats in WRs Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. Back the FALCONS (+210) to keep it rolling following last week’s emotional win.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Falcons to win would return a profit of $21.

Against the Spread (?)

The FALCONS are also a fine play on the spread of +5.5 at -110 odds to lose by five or fewer points, or win outright. They’re just 3-6 against the spread and fail to cover by an average of 4.5 points, but the Panthers are just 2-2 ATS at home and Atlanta has dominated this matchup.

Over/Under (?)

Grab the OVER 50.5 (-110) with key defensive injuries. Carolina is 6-3 against the Over/Under while Atlanta is 3-6. The Falcons have a neutral differential against the totals through nine games with the Panthers plus-4.4 against the projections.

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Esten’s NFL betting record: 23-29

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