5 stat-based reasons the Buccaneers can get to the top of the NFC … quickly

5 stat-based reasons the Buccaneers can get to the top of the NFC … quickly 1. The Buccaneers are due for some turnover regression (and then some) Jameis Winston is gone and he’s been replaced by a quarterback who has been historically great at avoiding turnovers. 2. The Saints are due for some turnover regression … but the bad kind New Orleans led the NFC in turnover margin in 2019, and that’s almost certainly not going to happen again. 3. The 49ers aren’t going to win all of their close games again The Niners finished 7-3 in those coin-flip games. 4. The same goes for the Seahawks, who won even more close games Seahawks were even luckier, finishing 5-1 in coin-flip games and 10-2 in one-possession games. 5. The Packers were not as good as their 13-3 record implies they were Packers’ underlying statistics suggest that they were closer to a 9-win team.

5 stat-based reasons the Buccaneers can get to the top of the NFC … quickly 1. The Buccaneers are due for some turnover regression (and then some) Jameis Winston is gone and he’s been replaced by a quarterback who has been historically great at avoiding turnovers. 2. The Saints are due for some turnover regression … but the bad kind New Orleans led the NFC in turnover margin in 2019, and that’s almost certainly not going to happen again. 3. The 49ers aren’t going to win all of their close games again The Niners finished 7-3 in those coin-flip games. 4. The same goes for the Seahawks, who won even more close games Seahawks were even luckier, finishing 5-1 in coin-flip games and 10-2 in one-possession games. 5. The Packers were not as good as their 13-3 record implies they were Packers’ underlying statistics suggest that they were closer to a 9-win team.