3. Las Vegas at New York Jets
LINE: Las Vegas -7.5
ATS PICK: Las Vegas
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
We’re all adults here. We’re all sophisticated enough to speak frankly.
There’s no reason to make this more complicated than it has to be.
Sam Darnold isn’t good.
The Jets are going to have the No. 1 overall pick for a reason, nine of their 11 losses were in blowouts, and the two others that weren’t decided by more than 7.5 points was partly because Joe Flacco was under center.
Meanwhile, Las Vegas failed to get off the bus in a strange 43-6 loss to Atlanta last week when nothing worked except the team’s ability to keep giving the ball away to various Falcons.
A freak out over that clunker is part of the reason why the spread is so manageable, and there might be some thought that the Jets really are improving – the defense hasn’t been all that bad.
Maybe losing two out of the last three by six points or fewer matters.
Maybe the Raiders not having RB Josh Jacobs around this week is a big deal, and maybe it’s because the team from Vegas has to play in the cold, along with a second straight game in the Eastern Time Zone.
Maybe it’s because Las Vegas hasn’t blowing teams out on the road.
Maybe the world thinks Darnold is due.
It’s the Jets. The spread should be double-digits.