3. RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty vs Toledo
Tuesday, December 20, 3:30, ESPN
ATS Line Toledo -3.5
Pick Liberty
You remember how I picked Air Force because it’s solid at doing the bowl thing? Yeah … good times.
That’s part of the reason why I’m picking Liberty. Toledo is awful in bowls lately.
It was so good for a stretch in the early 2010s, but then it got bad with four straight losses and all to Group of Five programs. Toledo has played 19 bowls and never beat a Power Five program, but to be fair, the only opportunity was the 2002 Motor City, and Boston College hung over half a hundred on the board.
On the other side, Liberty is 3-0 in bowls. All three wins were under Hugh Freeze. who’s another reason why I’m picking Liberty. He’s gone.
The Flames had a whole lot of injuries over the second half in the year, but a team this good doesn’t get walloped at home by New Mexico State 49-14 if the 100% full focus is there.
Liberty loses a bunch to the transfer portal – along with its head coach – but not enough to get into a twist over.
This should be more like the Liberty that pushed Virginia Tech in a tough late loss, destroyed BYU, and gave Wake Forest a heck of scare. Give me this team and the points.
And now for the off-the-rails portion of the program, and it’s a two-parter.
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