2. UCF at USF
LINE: UCF -25
ATS PICK: UCF
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
It’s a rivalry game, it’s in USF’s ballpark, and it’s likely the team’s season finale.
Always be afraid of rivalries, on Senior Day, and the end to a season. Be a bit wary of what the Bulls did at Memphis, too.
USF has yet to win a game against an FBS team, opening up the season with a win over The Citadel and losing seven straight since then. However, it gave a high powered Memphis team a fight in a 34-32 loss just a few weeks ago, and the offense wasn’t totally miserable in a 56-21 loss to Houston.
And UCF is going to win this in a blowout.
This isn’t the UCF of past seasons, and the defense has a whole slew of issues, but you like nation’s No. 2 offense, like the AAC’s No. 1 scoring offense, and you’re truly, madly, deeply in love with the D that leads the nation in takeaways.
USF generates no defensive pressure, its offense doesn’t have enough pop thanks to a struggling – to be kind – offensive line – and there is a big, BIG problem with turnovers.
The Bulls have a whole lot of young parts, and it shows with a whole lot of turnovers.
So how did they stay so close to Memphis? No turnovers – again, UCF rocks at taking the ball away.
UCF has yet to beat anyone by 26 all year, and you’re right to be concerned that USF could keep pushing and score a bit late. However, this is a rivalry game for UCF, too. This is Senior Day – albeit on the road – for UCF, too. And after putting up a whole slew of big offensive numbers, expect UCF to expand the lead late with takeaways, too.