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The final leg of the Florida swing takes place this week with the 2025 Valspar Championship. Innisbrook Resort at Palm Harbor once again hosts this tournament and it will be played on the Copperhead Course, one of the most challenging venues on the schedule. The first round begins Thursday.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the 2025 Valspar Championship from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Despite being the week after the Players Championship, the Valspar still has a strong field – led by world No. 3, Xander Schauffele. He’s not the favorite, though, at +2000. That title goes to Tommy Fleetwood at +1100. Justin Thomas (+1600) and Sepp Straka (+1600) are also among the favorites. Defending champion Peter Malnati has pre-tournament odds of +50000.
The Copperhead Course is one of the longest par-71 courses on tour, coming in at 7,352 yards. It features 5 par-3s, which limits scoring opportunities for players. One change this year was moving the 9th tee to the 11th tee box, which lengthened the hole slightly and also brought bunkers into play more.
- Valspar Championship: Best outright winner bets
Valspar Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:46 a.m. ET.
Justin Thomas (+300)
Thomas may not have had his best for all 4 rounds at the Players, but he was pretty darn good on Friday when he fired a 62, tying the course record. That’s the sort of potential Thomas possesses every week and he’s bound to win sooner or later. The tough conditions at Innisbrook should suit him well.
Will Zalatoris (+550)
Zalatoris seems to play his best at difficult venues like the ones hosting the U.S. Open, and while Innisbrook may not be quite on that level, it’s a challenging course – just as TPC Sawgrass is, where he was in the mix until late on Saturday. His ball striking is great right now and he’s even much-improved on the greens, putting him on track to contend throughout the year.
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Valspar Championship – Top-10 picks
Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Fleetwood’s odds are almost shockingly short to win this week despite him having zero PGA Tour victories. He’s had many close calls in the past and that’s what we’re betting again this week with a top 10. In 2 career starts here, he’s finished 16th and third.
Shane Lowry (+225)
Lowry has done well at PGA National, which features a challenging layout not dissimilar to Innisbrook. He finished 12th here in 2022, but he’s still looking for his first top 10 at the Copperhead Course.
Taylor Moore (+400)
Moore won here in 2023 and followed that up with a 12th-place finish last year, proving he knows how to navigate the Snake Pit at the Copperhead Course.
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Valspar Championship – Top-20 picks
Lucas Glover (+160)
Glover is coming off a fantastic showing at the Players where he was one of the best ball strikers in the field. He ultimately faded a bit on Sunday, but he’s still playing well and could be poised for another top 20 here; he’s had 3 in this event since 2017.
Beau Hossler (+300)
Hossler hasn’t played this course well in the past, but he’s a strong par-3 player, which is important at Innisbrook.
Valspar Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Jordan Spieth (+115) vs. Sam Burns (-145)
Spieth is showing good form as he continues to work his way back from his wrist injury. Betting against a former 2-time champion of this event may not be wise, but Spieth’s odds are enticing in this matchup.
Valspar Championship – Top German
Stephan Jaeger (+100)
Jaeger is the favorite to be the top German and for good reason. He’s added length to his game in the last few years and has become a very good ball striker. Matti Schmid (+250) is the second-favorite in this market.
Valspar Championship – First-round leader
Nicolai Hojgaard (+6600)
With some uncertain weather and windy conditions likely popping up late on Thursday, the first-round leader market is going to be challenging this week. So we’ll limit it to just one player: Hojgaard, who has the fifth tee time of the day on Thursday.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- 2025 Valspar Championship shows the love for defending champion Peter Malnati
- Valspar was supposed to be Luke Clanton’s first Tour start. He tees it up as a soon-to-be member instead
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