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The 2025 PGA Tour season kicks off this week with The Sentry, the first event of the new calendar. It’s once again being held at the Plantation Course at Kapalua on Maui, opening the season in beautiful Hawaii. The first round begins on Thursday.
Below, we look at The Sentry odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
It’s an exclusive field at The Sentry, with only 60 players making up the list of competitors in Hawaii. It’s comprised of winners from last season, as well as the top 50 in the 2024 FedExCup standings. Scottie Scheffler is notably absent due to a recent hand injury suffered on Christmas, which required surgery and will sideline him 4-5 weeks. Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa and Ludvig Aberg are among the other stars teeing it up.
The Plantation Course is a par 73, the only such course on the PGA Tour schedule, and plays at 7,596 yards long. There are huge elevation changes throughout this venue, with steep drop-offs from tee to green on several holes. It’s why some of the longest drives of the year are often hit here. The event has been played at the Plantation Course since 1999, with the winning score being 20-under or better in 12 of the last 15 years. Chris Kirk won last year at 29-under 263.
- The Sentry: Best prop bet predictions
The Sentry – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:37 p.m. ET.
Collin Morikawa (+1100)
With it being the first event of the year, we don’t have much recent form to go off of. That’s the case for Morikawa, who hasn’t played since the ZOZO in late October. Instead, we’ll look at his course history, which is unbelievably good at Kapalua. He’s finished T-7 or better in each of his 5 career starts at The Sentry, including a second-place finish in 2023 when he blew a 7-shot final-round lead to Jon Rahm. He’s bound to win this event at some point in his career.
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Sungjae Im (+1800)
Im should always be a popular pick at courses where birdies come in bunches, as they do at Kapalua. He’s finished fifth, eighth, 13th and fifh in 4 career starts here. He could be in better form than other players, too, considering he played in the Hero World Challenge earlier this month and finished T-9.
Justin Thomas (+1000)
Thomas loves the Plantation Course. Or at least, his scores suggest he does. Since 2016, he’s only finished outside the top 5 three times, which was in 2023 (25th), 2018 (22nd) and 2016 (21st). He excels at this venue, using his shot-shaping ability to hit the necessary approaches into Kapalua’s big greens.
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The Sentry picks – Contenders
Matt Fitzpatrick (+5000)
Fitzpatrick’s odds are simply too long for a player of his caliber. He’s plenty long off the tee and his approach play is among the best in the world when he’s on. In 2 appearances at The Sentry in the last 2 years he’s finished T-7 and T-14.
J.T. Poston (+4000)
Poston has played this event 3 times in his career, finishing 11th in his debut in 2020, 21st in 2023 and fifth last year. With how good he is as a putter, he can contend anywhere, and his shorter length off the tee won’t be as much of a disadvantage this week with how far the ball is going to roll out on some of the downhill holes.
The Sentry picks – Long shots
Cam Davis (+10000)
This just feels like an event Davis can win with his sporadic tee shots on a course where inaccuracy with the driver isn’t as penalizing. If he can dial in his wedges and putt better than he has in the past, he’ll have a real shot this week. He finished T-10 in 2022 before coming in T-52 last year, his only 2 appearances at The Sentry.
Nico Echavarria (+10000)
Echavarria just won the ZOZO Championship in October against a strong field and he’ll try to stun the world’s best again this week at Kapalua. In his tournament debut last year, he finished T-25, so he should be more comfortable than he was in his first start a year ago.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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