2025 Sony Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2025 Sony Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The new PGA Tour season continues this week with the 2025 Sony Open, the second event on the calendar. It will once again be held at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu on the island of Oahu in Hawaii, with the first round beginning on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Sony Open from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Hideki Matsuyama will try to make it 2 wins in a row after taking the title at The Sentry last week, and he’s the betting favorite at +900 in Honolulu. Corey Conners, Tom Kim and Russell Henley are among the other top contenders, as is Sahith Theegala.

Waialae Country Club is a par 70 course that plays at only 7,044 yards, featuring narrow, tree-lined fairways and 85 bunkers around the property. It requires accuracy off the tee, unlike the Plantation Course at Kapalua last week, so it’s a very different course than the one from last week’s event on Maui. Still, it typically yields low scores, with the winner being between 11-under and 27-under each year since 2010. Last year’s winning score was 17-under 263 by the late Grayson Murray.

Sony Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:12 p.m. ET.

Byeong Hun An (+400)

An finished second in this event last year and also came in 12th in 2023, so he’s had back-to-back strong showing at Waialae in the last 2 years. He’s one of the best ball-strikers in the field, which this course emphasizes more than Kapalua did last week.

Keegan Bradley (+450)

Like An, Bradley also lost to Murray in a playoff last year, his second top-12 finish in the last 3 years at this event. He started this season well with a T-15 at The Sentry last week and will try to carry that momentum into Honolulu.

Sony Open – Top-10 picks

Chris Kirk (+400)

Kirk has finished second and third at the Sony Open in the last 4 years, never finishing worse than 27th in that span. He won The Sentry in 2024 and though he didn’t play well in his title defense last week, he’s had success in Hawaii over the years.

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Tom Kim (+188)

This course rewards accuracy off the tee and good ball-striking, so Kim should be a factor come Sunday. His putting still needs to improve but with how small the greens are this week, he should have more birdie looks than most players with how solid he is from tee to green.

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Sony Open – Top-20 picks

Nick Taylor (+300)

In his last 3 starts at the Sony Open, Taylor has finished 11th once and seventh twice. He’s learned how to plot his way around Waialae Country Club and could find himself near the top of the leaderboard again come Sunday.

Tom Hoge (+220)

Hoge is a terrific iron player who should have success at a course like Waialae where distance isn’t rewarded. His best finishes in this event since 2018 are third and 12th and he got off to a good start at The Sentry last week with an opening-round 64 before drifting in the next 3 rounds.

Sony Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Chris Kirk (-110) vs. Harry Hall (-110)

Hall has only played this tournament twice, finishing 28th in 2023 and 42nd last year. It’s not as if he’s had a lot of success, whereas Kirk has come in second, 27th, third and 18th in the last 4 years. There’s no way this matchup should be -110 on each side.

Sony Open – Top Canadian

Nick Taylor (+850)

Taylor’s history here is laid out above and in this betting market, there are 4 players with the same or shorter odds than Taylor to be the top Canadian: Conners (+175), Taylor Pendrith (+333), Mackenzie Hughes (+500) and Adam Svensson (+850). He has 3 top-11 finishes in the last 3 years here and should not be this far down the board.

Sony Open – First-round leader

Tom Hoge (+6000)

Hoge was the first-round leader last week at The Sentry with a 64 on Thursday, so he’ll try to make it back-to-back hot starts. He’s had varying levels of success at Waialae but at +6000, he’s worth a sprinkle.

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