2025 Sony Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2025 Sony Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The PGA Tour will remain in Hawaii for another week for the 2025 Sony Open, which is played at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. The first round of this full-field event begins on Thursday morning from the island of Oahu and continues through Sunday.

Below, we look at Sony Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

After winning The Sentry on Sunday with a PGA Tour scoring record of 35-under par, Hideki Matsuyama will tee it up again this week in Oahu. He’s the favorite with pre-tournament odds of +900, ahead of Corey Conners (1600), Tom Kim (+1800) and Russell Henley (2000). Matsuyama is a former champion here, winning in 2022.

Waialae Country Club differs greatly from the Plantation Course at Kapalua where The Sentry was played. This is a tree-lined course with narrow fairways and doglegs, requiring players to be accurate off the tee. It’s only 7,044 yards and plays as a par 70, featuring 83 bunkers spread throughout the property.

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Sony Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 6:15 p.m. ET.

Byeong Hun An (+2200)

An was the runner-up here last year after also finishing T-12 in 2023, so he’s had success in this event despite only playing it twice in his career. He didn’t have the best showing at Kapalua last week where he finished T-32 out of 58 players, but simply playing the first Hawaii event of the year will help him this week.

Russell Henley (+2000)

At a course that emphasizes accuracy off the tee. Henley is a perfect fit. It’s why he’s finished in the top 32 in each of the last 4 years, including a fourth-place last year and runner-up in 2022. He also played The Sentry, which typically benefits players in the Sony Open.

Keegan Bradley (+2500)

Bradley and his new mustache finished T-15 at The Sentry last week and he’ll try to have another strong showing at Waialae where he’s had success in the past. He lost in a playoff last year and tied for 12th in 2022 and 2020, missing the cut in 2023 and 2021.

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Sony Open picks – Contenders

Chris Kirk (+5000)

Kirk has quietly played some good golf in Hawaii, winning The Sentry last year and finishing 27th or better in each of the last 4 editions of the Sony Open. He’s had second- and third-place finishes in the last 4 years. He’ll try to get on track after a disappointing T-44 last week.

Tom Hoge (+5500)

Hoge fired an opening-round 64 at The Sentry last week before shooting 68-68-69 in the final 3 rounds to fade down the leaderboard, but he still came in eighth. Though he’s missed the cut in 3 of the last 4 years here, he does have finishes of third and 12th since 2018.

Sony Open picks – Long shots

Patton Kizzire (+15000)

Kizzire has played this tournament every year since 2018, which was the year he won it. He’s only missed the cut once in that span, notching 3 other top-13 finishes in addition to that win.

Nick Taylor (+10000)

Taylor is a regular at this event and he’s really figured out how to navigate Waialae over the years. In his last 3 starts here, he’s recorded 3 straight top-11 performances (11th and seventh twice).

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