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The California Swing continues this week with the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open, which begins on Wednesday morning, one day earlier than usual. Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolla, California, will once again host this iconic event, with the field playing both the North and South courses in the first 2 days, and the South course for the final 2 rounds.
Below, we look at Farmers Insurance Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Collin Morikawa and Xander Schauffele withdrew over the weekend, leaving Ludvig Aberg (+1000) and Hideki Matsuyama (+1100) as the top players in the field and the favorites to win. Sungjae Im, Keegan Bradley, Tony Finau and Will Zalatoris are also teeing it up this week.
The North and South courses are both challenging, but it’s the South that will really test players. It’s 7,765 yards long compared to the 7,258-yard North course, and both will play as par 72 on the scorecard. With the length of the South course, distance off the tee will give players a big advantage. Even for the longest hitters, it’s a challenging week, with the winning score being between 6-under and 21-under since 2010. Matthieu Pavon won at 13-under 275 last year. He’s at +9000 to repeat.
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Farmers Insurance Open – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:46 p.m. ET.
Jason Day (+2500)
It’s hard not to like Day every time he tees it up at Torrey. Despite missing the cut last year, he finished seventh in 2023, third in 2022 and was the champion in 2018. Since wininng, he has 4 top-10 finishes and 5 top-20s at this event.
Will Zalatoris (+2200)
This is a great fit for Zalatoris, who has finished 13th, second and seventh in 3 of his 4 starts at Torrey Pines; he did miss the cut in 2023. He looks healthy and improved already this season, posting finishes of T-26 and T-12 in his 2 starts so far.
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Farmers Insurance Open picks – Contenders
J.J. Spaun (+5500)
Spaun is off to a hot start this season, finishing T-3 at the Sony Open and T-21 in the American Express last week. This is a ball-striker’s course and Spaun ranks 14th in strokes gained: tee-to-green this season. He doesn’t have a good track record here, missing the cut 4 times since 2017, but he did finish ninth in his debut 8 years ago and 23rd in 2018.
Taylor Pendrith (+3300)
Pendrith has the length to win at Torrey and he’s used it to climb the leaderboard in recent years. He finished ninth last year and 16th in 2022, sandwiching a 60th-place showing in 2023. He ranks 30th in SG: tee-to-green this season.
Farmers Insurance Open picks – Long shots
Ryo Hisatsune (+15000)
Hisatsune finished 33rd in his debut here last year and though he hasn’t cracked the top-40 yet this season, he played well at The American Express last week and ranks 48th in SG: tee-to-green – climbing 13 spots with his performance at PGA West.
Ryan Palmer (+40000)
Palmer is an ultra-long shot but he may have found some form last week at PGA West where he finished T-34 despite fading on Sunday with a final-round 73 that dropped him down the leaderboard. He’s been the runner-up here twice in the last 6 times he’s played this event (2018, 2021), and also has 3 other top-25 finishes at Torrey.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- How much tougher was the Stadium Course at the 2025 American Express?
- 2025 Genesis Invitational likely headed to Torrey Pines due to Los Angeles fires
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