2024 Xfinity 500 odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Xfinity 500. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) for the final start of 3 Round of 8 races in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Xfinity 500 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

Xfinity 500: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. is on the pole for Sunday’s race after posting a best speed of 96.190 mph in qualifying
Truex, no longer alive in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, has 3 career wins at Martinsville with 10 top-15 finishes and 1,063 laps led in 37 career starts with a 15.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney leads all active drivers with an 8.8 AFP in 17 career Cup starts with a win and 9 top-5 finishes. He enters sixth in the playoff standings, still alive for a Championship 4 spot
JGR’s Denny Hamlin has 5 career Cup victories at Martinsville while posting 19 top-5 finishes and 2,448 laps led with a 10.2 AFP in 37 career Cup starts
Hamlin will start from the back of the field in 37th, as he smacked the wall on Turn 3 in practice Saturday, heavily damaging his car due to an apparent hung throttle
JGR’s Christopher Bell sits atop the playoff standings. In 9 career Cup starts he has a win, 159 laps led and a 16.2 AFP at Martinsville. Bell is set to go off 16th Sunday
Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron has 2 career Cup wins at the Virginia short track, while posting a 13.8 AFP in 13 career starts. He’ll go off third on Sunday
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott is still alive in eighth place in the playoff standings. He has a win, 6 top-5 finishes and 1,104 laps led with a 12.7 AFP in 18 career Cup starts at Martinsville. He goes off second Sunday

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Xfinity 500 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+600) is a good value for the chance to multiply up by 6 times with a victory.

He currently sits in third place in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs standings, as he vies for a spot in the Championship 4.

Larson has 19 career Cup starts at the “Paper Clip”, going for a win, 5 top-5 finishes and just 7 top-19 runs, so this hasn’t been his best track. He has a 16.7 AFP, too, which is middle of the road, while posting 4 DNFs. However, he needs a strong finish to head to Phoenix for a shot at a championship, and he is a good bet to do just that.

Xfinity 500 – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2000) is still alive in the playoff standings, but he’ll need a lot of help. He checks in seventh, 28 points back of Tyler Reddick below the cut line. He’ll likely be going all out, as it’s now or never.

Logano is 4th among active drivers with a 10.8 AFP in 31 career Cup starts at Martinsville. While he has just a one grandfather clock to his name, the prize awarded for winning at the Virginia short track, he does have 11 top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs with 1,208 laps led and 0 DNFs.

For the chance to multiply up by 20 times, Logano is a strong value. He goes off from the 12th spot in the starting grid.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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