2024 Wurth 400 odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Dover Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Wurth 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 2 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Wurth 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Wurth 400: What you need to know

Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch secured the pole position with a best speed of 162.191 mph, just edging out Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney (161.951 mph)
Busch has managed 3 Cup wins at Dover, while posting 13 top-4 finishes and 1,341 laps led with 7 DNFs in 35 career starts
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with an 8.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 15 career Cup starts at Dover with 1 win, 7 top-5 finishes and 899 laps led
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott has a 9.8 AFP in 13 Cup starts, with 2 wins, 9 top-5 finishes and 394 laps led with 2 DNFs
Joe Gibbs Racing’s Martin Truex Jr. has managed 4 career checkered flags at the New Jersey native’s unofficial home track, with an 11.4 AFP with 10 top-5 runs and 1,069 laps led
Penske’s Austin Cindric has struggled in his 2 career Cup starts at the Monster Mile, finishing 26th and 36th
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has led just 9 laps with no top-10 finishes in 23 career Cup starts at Dover. He has a dismal 30.6 AFP and 9 DNFs
Legacy Motor Club driver Jimmie Johnson will go off 27th Sunday. He has recorded 11 Cup wins at Dover with 18 top-5 finishes, 3,113 laps led and a solid 9.7 AFP

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2024 Wurth 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:25 a.m. ET.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+650) has racked up 4 wins at Dover Motor Speedway, including his 1st career Cup win back on June 4, 2007.

Truex has been humming along lately, especially in qualifying. However, while he rattled off 5 consecutive top-10 finishes from March 3-31, he has been 11th or lower in his past 3 starts. Still, he should be rejuvenated in what has been his unofficial favorite track.

2024 Wurth 400 – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2500) was unable to take advantage of his 7th starting spot at Talladega last week, tumbling to 19th to finish. He has been a little bit erratic this season, but Logano is worth a roll of the dice with some rather long odds.

Logano has never won at Dover, but he has 5 top-5 finishes and 15 top-10 runs with a respectable 14.5 AFP. For the opportunity to potentially multiply your initial wager by 25 times, take a chance on Sliced Bread.

2024 Wurth 400 – Props and matchbets

ALEX BOWMAN (+102) over Ross Chastain (-128) in a matchbet is the way to go.

While Bowman has a rather ordinary 17.8 AFP, he has won at Dover back on May 16, 2021. On the flip side, Chastain has a dismal 22.7 AFP in 9 Cup starts at Dover, while posting 2 top-5 finishes and 1 DNF.

KYLE BUSCH (-118) over Tyler Reddick (-108) is a decent matchbet play, too, especially since Rowdy starts out on the pole. Reddick has a 15.2 AFP in 5 Cup starts at the track, and he has never led a lap at the Delaware track.

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