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The last leg of the Florida swing, the 2024 Valspar Championship, takes place this week at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Fla. It’s not a signature event like the last 2 tournaments were, both won by Scottie Scheffler, but it still features a strong field led by Xander Schauffele.
Below, we look at the 2024 Valspar Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Schauffele is the betting favorite at Innisbrook, coming in with very short odds of +750. Sam Burns, a 2-time champion of this event, is 2nd with odds of +1100, followed by Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas at +1400. Defending champion Taylor Moore is +6000 to win in back-to-back years.
The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook is 7,340 yards (par 71) and has yielded a winning score between 7-under and 17-under each year since 2010. The finish at Innisbrook is far from easy, with the final 3 holes being dubbed the “Snake Pit.” It’s a pair of par 4s (16 and 18), with a 200-plus-yard par 3 (17) in the middle, yielding a scoring average over par each year in that 3-hole stretch.
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Valspar Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:12 p.m. ET.
Sungjae Im (+2200)
Im hit a rough patch this season where he didn’t finish better than 44th in 5 straight events, but he seems to have found something in the last 2 weeks. He finished 18th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T-31 at the Players Championship, and he comes to Innisbrook where he’s come in 4th and 29th in 2 career starts.
Nick Taylor (+3300)
Taylor just missed out on a top-25 finish at the Players due to a 3rd-round 76, coming in 26th after shooting 66 and 68 in the 1st 2 rounds. He has 3 top-25s and a win already this season, including a T-12 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Taylor finished 10th here last year.
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Valspar Championship picks – Contenders
Doug Ghim (+4500)
It’s been 2 months since Ghim finished outside the top 20. That’s hard to believe, but it’s true. He’s finished between 8th and 16th in each of his last 5 starts and now ranks 4th in total strokes gained this season. At +4500, he’s a bargain.
Keith Mitchell (+4000)
Mitchell has only played here twice and he made the cut both times, finishing 11th back in 2017. He’s 7-for-8 in cuts made this season and has finished in the top 25 four times already, ranking 33rd in total strokes gained – a very respectable number for Cashmere Keith.
Valspar Championship picks – Long shots
K.H. Lee (+12500)
Lee finished 21st here in 2021 and 19th last year, which are the only 2 official starts he’s made in this event (WD in 2020). He’s been hot and cold this season, finishing in the top 30 three times and missing the cut in his 4 other starts, but that’s the type of player you want to target as a long shot.
Matt NeSmith (+12500)
NeSmith has only played this event twice but his record is good. He came in 21st in 2021 and 3rd in 2022 before skipping it last year. He may have found his game at the Players, where he finished T-26 on Sunday, so he could head into Innisbrook with some momentum.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- Wyndham Clark’s brutal lip out at 2024 Players Championship cost him as much as $2.5 million
- Snake Pit awaits: Golfers must navigate tough closing stretch at Valspar Championship
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