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The PGA Tour’s FedExCup Fall schedule resumes this week after a brief break for the Presidents Cup as players head to Mississippi for the 2024 Sanderson Farms Championship. The first round from the Country Club of Jackson begins on Thursday morning.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Sanderson Farms Championship from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Keith Mitchell, Mackenzie Hughes and Maverick McNealy are all tied as the co-favorites to win this weekend, entering with pre-tournament odds of +2200. Seamus Power is 4th with odds of +2500, followed by Nick Dunlap and Patrick Fishburn at +2800. Defending champion Luke List is a long shot at +6600 to repeat.
The Country Club of Jackson is a slightly longer course at 7,461 yards and plays as a par 72. It was redesigned in 2008 and features Bermudagrass greens.
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Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:02 p.m. ET.
Henrik Norlander (+1100)
Norlander has 3 top-5 finishes in his last 4 starts in this event, which is quite impressive. He clearly knows how to navigate this course well and while he only has 1 finish better than 53rd in his last 4 starts in 2024, he’s a horse at the Country Club of Jackson.
Nick Dunlap (+550)
Dunlap has already won twice this season, once as an amateur and once as a pro, and even though he hasn’t played this event before, his pure talent as a ball striker makes him an intriguing pick.
Emiliano Grillo (+900)
Grillo missed the cut in this event for the 1st time last year, which came after he finished 5th in 2022 and between 35th and 39th in each of the previous 3 years. He hasn’t missed a cut in his last 5 starts this season.
Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-10 picks
Ben Griffin (+300)
Griffin has finished 24th and 2nd in his 2 career starts in this event, losing in a playoff just last year. He had 4 top-10 finishes in 28 events played this season, and this is a tournament with a weaker field where he could really stand out from the rest.
C.T. Pan (+450)
Pan has come in 12th or better in 3 of his last 4 starts in this event, making the cut all 4 times. He notched a top-10 last year with a 9th-place finish, his highest in this event.
Maverick McNealy (+225)
McNealy hasn’t played here since 2020 but that year, he finished 17th, so he was close to cracking the top 10. In even better form now, McNealy is a legitimate contender to win this week, which is why his odds are on the shorter end.
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Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-20 picks
Garrick Higgo (+320)
Higgo is 2-for-2 when it comes to top-20 finishes in this event, coming in 16th last year and 3rd in 2022. He’s a long shot for a reason, but he did finish 26th in his most recent start at the Fortinet Championship.
Joel Dahmen (+450)
Like Higgo, Dahmen is also 2-for-2 in top-20 finishes here the last 2 years. He finished 13th each time, making this one of his better events on the schedule.
Sanderson Farms Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Ben Griffin (-105) vs. J.J. Spaun (-120)
Spaun does not have a great record at the Country Club of Jackson, missing the cut twice in 5 starts with his best finish being 34th way back in 2017. With Griffin’s impressive finishes the last 2 years, he’s worth playing as the underdog here.
Seamus Power (-105) vs. Keith Mitchell (-120)
Mitchell can always have a great week if his putter cooperates, but if not, his ball striking will all be for naught. Power has 4 top-30 finishes in his last 6 starts here, including 2 top-20s.
Sanderson Farms Championship – Top Canadian
Adam Svensson (+140)
This is a spot to fade Hughes in. He’s coming off the Presidents Cup, which is typically an exhausting week mentally and physically for players. Svensson will be well-rested and his most recent 2 finishes this season were 13th and 7th.
Sanderson Farms Championship – Top Continental European
Henrik Norlander (+333)
Stephan Jaeger is the favorite in this market at +175, but Norlander is an excellent value pick given his history in this event for the reasons listed above.
Sanderson Farms Championship – First-round leader
Henrik Norlander (+6600)
In addition to his 3 top-5 finishes in the last 4 years, Norlander is a player who typically starts the week on the right foot. He ranks 20th on the PGA Tour in Round 1 scoring average this year (69.38).
Maverick McNealy (+4000)
McNealy ranks 33rd on tour in 1st-round scoring average at 69.62, so he’s someone who could go low on Thursday in pursuit of a win on the weekend.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
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- Sanderson Farms Championship 2024 odds, course history and picks to win
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