2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The PGA Tour is in Detroit this week for the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic, a relatively new event on the schedule. Detroit Golf Club is hosting the 6th tournament once again, giving players ample scoring opportunities at a course that always yields low scores.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

After finishing 2nd last week at the Travelers Championship, losing in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler, Tom Kim is the betting favorite in Detroit at +1200. Cameron Young, who fired a 59 in Round 3 at the Travelers, has the 2nd-best odds at +1400, followed by Akshay Bhatia (+2000) and Min Woo Lee (+2000). Defending champion Rickie Fowler is +4000 to win this event for the 2nd straight year.

Detroit Golf Club is a par 72 and 7,370 yards. It’s a course that long hitters typically excel at, giving them opportunities to cut corners and hit wedges into these receptive greens. The rough isn’t very penal, either, lessening the importance of hitting fairways. The winning score last year was 24-under and it has been between 18-under and 26-under in each of the tournament’s 5 years.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:44 a.m. ET.

Min Woo Lee (+350)

Lee hasn’t been in contention since he finished 2nd at the Cognizant Classic in May, but very quietly, he’s finished between 21st and 26th in each of his last 5 starts this season. He’s a bomber who should be able to take advantage of this layout, though we don’t have any past course history to go off of with this being his tournament debut.

Alex Noren (+500)

Noren may not have the length that winners of this event have had, but that hasn’t stopped him from finding success. He’s finished 9th and 4th in his last 2 starts here, and he’s now playing the best golf of his career. He has yet to win a PGA Tour event, but he’s come close before, and he could have another close call again this week.

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Cameron Young (+300)

At one point last week, Young was 15-under in a 22-hole stretch between Rounds 3 and 4. He faded down the stretch on Sunday with a 1-over back-9, but he’s riding some momentum after a good week in Connecticut. Another winless player seeking his 1st victory, this could be the week he breaks through at a very easy course where length off the tee helps.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – Top-10 picks

Keith Mitchell (+300)

Few players in the world are striking the ball better than Mitchell. From tee-to-green, he ranks 7th in strokes gained, and he’s 5th off the tee. He’s plenty long enough to take advantage of this favorable layout, ranking 16th in driving distance, but he desperately needs his putter to wake up.

Taylor Pendrith (+250)

Pendrith has 1 win this season and in his last 4 starts, including the Memorial and U.S. Open, he’s finished between 16th and 33rd. In fact, going back to the Corales Puntacana Championship in April, Pendrith has 7 top-25 finishes in his last 9 starts with just 1 missed cut.

Cam Davis (+500)

Davis, a past champion here, will get to use his length off the tee to his advantage again this week. Since winning in 2021, he’s finished 14th and 17th at this event, showing consistent success in Detroit over the last 3 years.

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Rocket Mortgage Classic – Top-20 picks

Nicolai Hojgaard (+200)

Hojgaard made his debut in this event last year, finishing 21st. He’s been lacking high finishes as of late, but all he needs is a top 20 here, which he came close to hitting last year. The Dane ranks 20th in driving distance but his putter has been cold all year, ranking 121st in SG: putting.

Jake Knapp (+350)

Knapp has had a rollercoaster year with a win, 2 other top-5s and 5 missed cuts. You have to pick and choose when to bet on the up-and-coming American, and this is a good week to ride with him. He’s 22nd in driving distance and 100th in accuracy, but thankfully, missed fairways isn’t too penalizing at Detroit Golf Club.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Cameron Young (+115) vs. Tom Kim (-145)

I’m fading Kim a bit in Detroit, with this being his 9th straight week teeing it up. Yes, he played remarkably well at the Travelers Championship, but that course fit his game much better, being on the shorter side distance-wise. I’ll take Young and his distance at plus-money.

Keith Mitchell (+105) vs. Stephan Jaeger (-135)

It might not be wise to bet against the long-hitting Jaeger, but looking at Mitchell’s ball-striking numbers, it’s hard not to like his chances this week in Detroit if the putter is even slightly above average.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – Top Canadian

Taylor Pendrith (+125)

There are 5 Canadians in the field but only Pendrith and Adam Svensson (+175) have odds shorter than +500. For the reasons outlined above, I like Pendrith to play well this week.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – First-round leader

Cameron Young (+2800)

Young shot 59 on Saturday and has always been a player who can go exceptionally low at any moment. With an early tee time (7:40), he could set the pace on Thursday morning with a solid start.

Alex Noren (+4500)

Noren ranks 6th on tour in Round 1 scoring average and already has 2 top-10 finishes at this event.

Rocket Mortgage Classic – To make the cut

Bhatia, Pendrith and Jaeger: Yes (+130)

Bhatia is building momentum after a top-5 at the Travelers Championship, Pendrith has been great in his last 4 starts and Jaeger is a winner already this year with impressive length off the tee.

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