2024 RBC Heritage odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

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Scottie Scheffler cruised to his 2nd green jacket at the Masters on Sunday, winning the 1st major of the season. The field will remain strong this week with the 2024 RBC Heritage being a signature event on the PGA Tour schedule. The 1st round from Harbour Town in Hilton Head, S.C., begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the 2024 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

As of Monday, Scheffler is still in the field for the RBC Heritage, though there’s a chance he could withdraw with a baby on the way soon. Among the favorites are Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg and 2023 champion Matt Fitzpatrick, who defeated Jordan Spieth in a playoff.

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par 71 and will play slightly longer than it did last year, coming in at 7,213 yards. It features some of the smallest greens on the PGA Tour so strong iron play is a must for any contender in the field this week. The winning score has ranged from 9-under to 22-under each year since 2010, so there are opportunities to go low.

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RBC Heritage – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+2200)

A couple of double-bogeys on Sunday at Augusta doomed Morikawa’s chances of slipping on the green jacket, but he was encouraged after his final round thanks to the way he hit the ball throughout the week – and the fact that he found some consistency after switching putters between rounds. Harbour Town is a perfect fit for his game, requiring accuracy off the tee and top-level ball-striking into the greens. He was 4th in SG: approach at Augusta and ranks 5th on tour in driving accuracy.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1800)

Fleetwood ranked 4th in SG: tee-to-green at the Masters, continuing to show the impressive ball-striking prowess that’s always been evident in his game. He comes to Harbour Town with some momentum and he’s coming off finishes of 10th and 15th here in the last 2 years. He, too, is one of the best iron players in the world and also ranks 2nd in driving accuracy, making him an excellent fit here.

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RBC Heritage picks – Contenders

Shane Lowry (+4500)

Lowry’s 43rd-place finish at the Masters was highly disappointing, but it wasn’t because of his ball striking. He ranked 9th in SG: tee-to-green but 60th in SG: putting, so it’s clear as to which team let him down at Augusta. No one should be surprised if he bounces back and wins on Sunday after placing in the top 10 here 3 of the last 4 years.

Corey Conners (+4500)

Continuing the trend of targeting elite iron players, Conners certainly fits the mold. He struggled a bit at Augusta too, finishing 38th, but he was still 20th in SG: approach so he hit it well into the greens. Conners finished 4th at Harbour Town in 2021 and 12th in 2022, so the course history is good.

Cam Davis (+6600)

Why not ride the hot hand of the long-hitting Aussie? His length off the tee won’t be advantageous this week, but that hasn’t been an issue in the past given his finishes of 25th, 7th and 3rd in the last 3 years. After a final-round 75, he finished T-12 at the Masters, but he played well all week.

RBC Heritage picks – Long shots

Tom Hoge (+9000)

Hoge isn’t a big name, but he ranks 2nd on tour in SG: approach this season. Shockingly, he’s missed the cut in 4 of his last 5 starts at the RBC Heritage, but he does have 1 top-25 in that span. At +9000, his irons alone are worth betting.

Matthieu Pavon (+8000)

After finishing T-12 in the Masters, Pavon now has 4 top-12s this season, including a win at Torrey Pines. He’s 25th in SG: approach and 8th in driving accuracy, which are 2 important metrics for Harbour Town. Given his success this season, his odds should probably be a bit longer than they are.

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