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The PGA Tour is back in Canada this week for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open, which has returned to Hamilton Golf and Country Club for the 1st time since 2019. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning from Hamilton, Ontario.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The highest-ranked player in the field this week based on the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings is Rory McIlroy, who comes in at No. 3. He was the 2019 champion here and also won the event in 2022 when it was played at St. George’s. Tommy Fleetwood is also among the favorites and ranked 14th this week, with 24th-ranked Sahith Theegala also teeing it up.
Hamilton is a short course at just 7,084 yards, and it’s a par 70 so there are only 2 par 5s, which limits the scoring opportunities a bit. However, 11 of the 12 par 4s are under 457 yards, so they’re certainly on the shorter side, which levels the playing field for longer hitters and those who don’t hit it as far.
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RBC Canadian Open – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:48 a.m. ET.
Cameron Young (+450)
Young has the length off the tee to turn this into an even shorter course, much like McIlroy did in 2019 when he won. Young, of course, is still looking for his 1st PGA Tour victory and while there’s a chance it could happen this week, it’s safer to bet on another close call at +450 for a top-5.
Shane Lowry (+400)
Lowry finished 2nd here in 2019 when McIlroy ran away from the field by 7 shots, and he comes into the week in good form after finishing T-6 at the PGA Championship. He could keep that up at a course he’s familiar with this week.
RBC Canadian Open – Top-10 picks
Sahith Theegala (+188)
Theegala has the creativity and soft touch around the greens to scramble for par when he does miss with an approach, which will come in handy this week. He finished 12th at the PGA Championship in his last start after a disappointing final round of 73.
Corey Conners (+225)
Could Conners follow Nick Taylor’s path and win on home soil in Canada? He has the ball striking to get it done on this accuracy-driven course, but he’ll need the putter to show up because he ranks 163rd in SG: putting.
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RBC Canadian Open – Top-20 picks
Alex Noren (+100)
Noren has finished in the top 25 in 8 straight starts, a remarkable trend that he should be able to maintain this week on a course that fits his game well. He’s short, but accurate, off the tee and a decent putter with an excellent short game around the greens (5th on tour)
Adam Hadwin (+188)
Hadwin has played the RBC Canadian Open 12 times and come in the top 10 in 3 of those starts, so he’s very familiar with this tournament – even if it’s not contested at the same course every year.
Matt Kuchar (+320)
Kuchar is more of a long shot considering he’s missed 9 cuts already this season, but he finished 4th at this venue in 2019 so maybe he can rekindle some of that magic and notch another top 20 this week.
RBC Canadian Open – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Tom Kim (-105) vs. Sam Burns (-120)
Kim’s game has been all sorts of off this season, ranking outside the top 100 in SG: off the tee, approach and putting. However, he’s begun to turn things around with back-to-back top-26 finishes in his last 2 starts at the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab Challenge.
RBC Canadian Open – Top English
Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Aaron Rai (+250) and Matt Wallace (+450) are the next-closest players to Fleetwood in this category, but Fleetwood still feels like a good value with his ball striking and accuracy off the tee.
RBC Canadian Open – Top Scottish
Robert MacIntyre (-155)
MacIntyre already has 3 top-10s this season and his only competition in this market is Martin Laird at +125. MacIntyre’s ceiling is much higher than Laird’s so we’ll lay the juice at -155.
RBC Canadian Open – First-round leader
Alex Noren (+3300, +320 for top 10)
Noren is becoming almost an auto-bet for 1st-round success in some form, whether it’s the outright leader or to be in the top 10 after Round 1. He’s 2nd in Round 1 scoring average behind only Scottie Scheffler and has shot 70 or better in 4 straight opening rounds.
Shane Lowry (+3300)
Lowry came in 2nd here in 2019 and is 13th in Round 1 scoring average this season. And he’s someone who can get red hot on the course if his putter gets going.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
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