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Dreams become reality and legends could potentially begin to bloom as the 2024 NFL Draft kicks off Thursday at 8 p.m. ET. There is no drama with the 1st overall pick, but you could argue that it’s a crapshoot for the next 5 picks. Will there be chaos as teams feverishly try to trade up to beat out the fray? If there were a year that a team approaches that “Godfather” offer Washington traded to St. Louis to take Robert Griffin III No. 2 overall in 2011, this could be it. Could the Washington Commanders be on the other end of that pendulum now?
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Draft odds for NFL prospects and tab the best bets for who will be the No. 5 overall pick — just one of many SportsbookWire’s expert NFL picks and predictions.
I wrote a Mock Draft for SportsBookWire’s brother site The Huddle a couple of weeks ago, and I predicted 2 teams jumping up to 3 and 4 to select quarterbacks. The Los Angeles Chargers own the 5th selection, and a lot of things could transpire according to what happens with picks 2-4. Will the Chargers make this selection, or will someone take who they’re targeting, which forces their hand to move down?
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2024 NFL Draft fifth overall pick odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:07 p.m. ET.
- WR Malik Nabers: +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- QB J.J. McCarthy: +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- WR Marvin Harrison Jr.: +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- OL Joe Alt: +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- QB Drake Maye: +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400)
- QB Jayden Daniels: +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)
- OT J.C. Latham: +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
- WR Rome Odunze: +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
- OT Taliese Fuaga: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
For more odds: See BetMGM Sportsbook
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The pick – MARVIN HARRISON JR. (+300)
Nabers is actually at shorter odds because I think the books believe Harrison will go No. 4 to Arizona. Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy’s stock has risen through the draft process. Once believed to be a late-1st-round pick, but it’s unlikely he makes it past this pick.
The Las Vegas Raiders are the team to watch before this pick. LSU QB Jayden Daniels played at Arizona State from 2019-21, and an assistant on that staff was none other than Raiders current coach Antonio Pierce.
The Pats have made it known they’re willing to trade back from No. 3. I project them to move back so the Minnesota Vikings could come up and take McCarthy, which leaves Daniels for the Raiders to come and get from the Cardinals at No. 4.
If the Raiders trade up to No. 2 or 3 to get Daniels, I still see the value of that No. 4 pick being too good for Arizona — which is more than a wide receiver away from contending — to turn down from a team desperate to get McCarthy/Daniels/Maye.
Harrison is a beast at 6-foot-3, 209 pounds, per NFL.com. His father played at 6-feet and 185 pounds on his way to the Hall of Fame. Harrison Jr. had 67 grabs for 1,211 yards last season for Ohio State. He scored 14 TDs for a 2nd straight seasons at OSU.
Harrison Jr. is the pick here, but it’s going to take some organized chaos at picks No. 2-4 for him to fall here.
Contender – J.J. MCCARTHY (+250)
What happens if the Cardinals don’t trade out of No. 4? They take Harrison, and I think the Chargers trade out of No. 5 where they could go back and target Odunze.
Why do I think this?
The Denver Broncos made it known they were willing to pay a king’s ransom to get one of the top-5 picks in order to select a quarterback … and then they went and traded for QB Zach Wilson. That tells me they know they’re not able to come up to get one.
Again, many curveballs could be thrown here, but the Chargers aren’t trading with the Raiders to allow them to select Daniels. That means they’re coming up to the top 4. That also means Arizona holds the cards for the fate of this pick if it selects Harrison Jr. or trades down for another team to take Daniels/McCarthy/Maye.
Contender – MALIK NABERS (+250)
There’s a chance that the Chargers hold steady and take their receiver. But that doesn’t make a lot of sense considering the value of this pick for the final of the “Big 4” QBs. Unless someone used Laremy Tunsil’s mask and gets sabotaged on draft day, the top 5 picks are Caleb Williams, Maye, Daniels, McCarthy and Harrison Jr.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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