2024 Memorial Tournament odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

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The stars will be out again this week for the 2024 Memorial Tournament, the next signature event on the PGA Tour schedule. Hosted by Jack Nicklaus and Muirfield Village, it’s one of the longest-running tournaments on tour and among most popular. The 1st round from Dublin, Ohio, begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 Memorial Tournament odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

After taking last week off, Scottie Scheffler is back in the field at Muirfield this week. He’s once again the betting favorite at +350, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800) and Xander Schauffele (+900). Last year’s champion, Viktor Hovland, has pre-tournament odds of +1800. Collin Morikawa (+1400), Ludvig Aberg (+1600) and Justin Thomas (+2500) are among the other marquee players teeing it up.

Muirfield Village is a traditional par-72 setup at a whopping 7,585 yards. The course has gotten tougher and longer over the years, with Hovland’s winning score last year being 7-under par. In 2019, Patrick Cantlay was 19-under, winning by 2 shots over Adam Scott. With long, penalizing rough, hitting fairways is essential, but even playing approaches from the short grass can be challenging because of the firmness of the greens.

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Memorial Tournament – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+2800)

Cantlay is a 2-time champion here, yet his odds this year are longer than they were in either of his previous 2 victories. While he may not be playing stellar golf right now and he ranks outside the top 100 in SG: approach, the course fit is too good to pass up at this number. Even in a “down” year by his standards, he has 6 top-25 finishes and 2 top-10s.

Ludvig Aberg (+1600)

Aberg has the driving accuracy to find fairways and the trajectory to hold these difficult, firm greens. Though it’s his tournament debut and he’s coming off a surprising missed cut at the PGA Championship in his last start, this is exactly the type of tournament Aberg can win with his all-around ability.

Collin Morikawa (+1400)

Morikawa finished 2nd here in 2021 but more importantly, his recent form is terrific. He’s come in 4th in each of his last 2 starts this season and has 4 top-10s since the Masters in April. His ball-striking has finally returned and he just needs the putter to heat up in order to notch his 1st win since the 2023 ZOZO Championship.

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Memorial Tournament picks – Contenders

Will Zalatoris (+5500)

It’s admittedly hard to get excited about the way Zalatoris has been playing lately, with nothing better than a T-44 in his last 4 starts, but he still ranks 14th in SG: approach, which is a key stat this week at Muirfield. He’s also 7th in par-5 scoring average, another important metric at Jack’s tournament. It’s his short game that’s weighing him down, ranking outside the top 140 in SG: around the green and putting.

Corey Conners (+4500)

Keeping with the trend of picking pure ball-strikers, Conners is in that mold. He also hasn’t missed a cut all season and has 4 top-26 finishes in his last 4 starts, including a 6th-place finish at the RBC Canadian Open last week. He’s 4-for-5 in cuts made here in his career, with a T-13 being his best finish in 2022.

Keegan Bradley (+5000)

Bradley continues to fly under the radar. He’s finished T-21, T-18 and T-2 in his last 3 starts this season and now comes to a tournament that he plays every year. He finished T-30 last year but is in even better form right now, ranking 21st in SG: approach and tee-to-green.

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Memorial Tournament picks – Long shots

Tom Hoge (+8000)

Hoge surged on Sunday to finish 17th at the Charles Schwab Challenge a couple of weeks ago, continuing some solid play recently. He’s 3rd on the PGA Tour in SG: approach, but his short game around the greens is dragging him down. If he can just make up-and-down more often this week, eh could find himself in contention.

Thomas Detry (+10000)

Detry found himself in contention at the PGA Championship, finishing T-4 that week at Valhalla. In his Memorial debut last year, he made the cut and finished 48th. His putter has saved him a bunch this year, ranking 11th in SG: putting. He’s had 4 top-10 finishes already this year so despite his volatility,

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