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The Las Vegas Raiders head into the 2024 season with a lot of optimism, as Antonio Pierce took over as the interim head coach after Josh McDaniels was fired on Nov. 1, 2023. The Raiders responded well under the former NFL player, and he has since had the interim title removed, a popular move in the locker room.
The Raiders have big shoes to fill, as RB Josh Jacobs left for the Green Bay Packers as a free agent. The team added RB Alexander Mattison, formerly of the Minnesota Vikings, while holdover RB Zamir White could get 1st crack at some snaps. But that’s a huge downgrade for the Silver and Black.
The team signed QB Gardner Minshew II as a free agent, and he and QB Aidan O’Connell figure to compete for the starting job this summer. Whoever wins the job has the luxury of throwing to WRs Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers, and the team added WR Michael Gallup from the Dallas Cowboys.
TE Brock Bowers was nabbed in Round 1 of the 2024 NFL Draft, and he figures to be a giant part of the offense from the jump. The tight ends room also includes free-agent addition Harrison Bryant, and promising young pass catcher Michael Mayer, so Minshew and/or O’Connell will have plenty of talented guys to target.
The Raiders didn’t do a lot to improve the defense, although DT Christian Wilkins was a nice add, as was LB Tommy Eichenberg in Round 5 of the draft. The Raiders were so-so defensively, although they had a bend-don’t-break defense, allowing just 19.5 points per game in 2023, 9th in the NFL.
Below, we look at the Las Vegas Raiders’ 2024 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
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2024 Las Vegas Raiders schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET | |||
| 1 | Sept. 8 | at Chargers | 4:05 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 15 | at Ravens | 1 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 22 | vs. Panthers | 4:05 p.m. |
| 4 | Sept. 29 | vs. Browns | 4:25 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 6 | at Broncos | 4:05 p.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 13 | vs. Steelers | 4:05 p.m. |
| 7 | Oct. 20 | at Rams | 4:05 p.m. |
| 8 | Oct. 27 | vs. Chiefs | 4:25 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 3 | at Bengals | 1 p.m. |
| 10 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 11 | Nov. 17 | at Dolphins | 1 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 24 | vs. Broncos | 4:05 p.m. |
| 13 | Nov. 29 (F) | at Chiefs | 3 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 8 | at Buccaneers | 1 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 16 | vs. Falcons | 8:30 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 22 | vs. Jaguars | 4:25 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 29 | at Saints | 1 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 4 or 5 | vs. Chargers | TBD |
FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
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Raiders over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 22 at 7:21 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 6.5 wins: (Over: -144 | Under: +118)
According to the Sharp Football Analysis, which based its calculations off the Vegas Forecasted Win Totals, the Raiders have the 9th-hardest schedule in the NFL. Their implied line of 6.75 wins is similar to the projections at most sportsbooks.
The schedule is pretty brutal, as mentioned above. It starts out with a pair of road games, and you know the Bolts will be fired up to kick off the Jim Harbaugh era, and then the Raiders will have to try to track down Lamar Jackson. Taking an honest look, it’s hard to find more than 2 sure-fire wins through Week 11.
Things would be more optimistic if Jacobs were in the backfield, but with White and Mattison as the top 2 tailbacks, the storm clouds are forming. Las Vegas better be very aggressive after training camp cuts, finding a gem off the waiver wire.
The Raiders have a reliable defense, and that will be huge against the AFC West rivals. But the road schedule as a whole is brutal. Las Vegas has 4 trips to the Eastern Time Zone, and 5 games east of the Mississippi River. And with the exception of Denver, it’s going to be an uphill climb inside the division.
Pierce got the most out of very little last season, but the challenge might be even greater now, as the novelty of a new voice wears off. UNDER 6.5 (+118) at plus-money looks pretty good.
Raiders Super Bowl odds
- +8000 (bet $100 to win $8,000)
The Raiders have some rather long odds, and this isn’t really a championship roster.
The Silver and Black are going to win some games, but it is a team which would do well to finish at or near .500, while staying in the playoff picture through the holidays. However, the loss of Jacobs will hurt, and be hard to overcome, especially with a hodgepodge of replacements vying for his touches.
In addition, you’re not winning a Super Bowl with Minshew or O’Connell. They’re good players, and entertaining figures, but they’re not Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, etc. Heck, they’re not even Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts or Brock Purdy. It would have been interesting if Josh Fields or Russell Wilson landed here, rather than both going to Pittsburgh, but alas, the Raiders will have to wait for their next great signal caller.
The San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the favorites, followed by the divisional rival Kansas City Chiefs (+600) and Baltimore Ravens (+950).
At +8000, Las Vegas has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of just 1.23% or 80/1 fractional odds.
The Carolina Panthers have the longest odds in the NFL at +30000, while the New England Patriots have the longest odds in the AFC at +18000, with the division rivals Denver Broncos and Washington Commanders not far behind at +15000.
AVOID, as Las Vegas will win a majority of the time when bets are made, unless that bet is on the Raiders to win the Super Bowl.
Will Raiders make the playoffs?
- Yes +310 | No -420
The Raiders will struggle to put up 7 or 8 victories, and a 9-8 season would be considered a rousing success based on the composition of this roster.
Las Vegas will have the Denver Broncos to kick around, but it’s ambitious to think the Raiders will have a winning record against the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers. In fact, it likely will be the opposition, with perhaps just 1 win in 4 tries against those teams.
The schedule starts off rough with road trips against the retooled and rejuvenated Chargers, as well as the hungry Ravens. And Las Vegas plays 5 playoff teams in the first 8 games, so it will be an uphill climb from the get-go, and that’s before even seeing the Chiefs on the schedule.
Things just never seem to lighten up for Las Vegas, and a run to the playoffs just seems very unlikely unless they make an unexpected splash to fill some holes before the season kicks offs.
PASS.
Odds to win AFC West Division
- Chiefs -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Chargers +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Raiders +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
- Broncos +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Las Vegas’ implied probability of winning the AFC West is 10.00% or 9/1 fractional odds. The Chiefs are heavy favorites to win the division, and the Chargers are expected to be their biggest competition, with the Raiders considered a distant third.
To be honest, the Raiders probably should be at +1200 or higher, as they’re not upending the Chiefs. Even when Jacobs was on the roster, and they had an NFL-caliber starting QB Derek Carr, this team was struggling inside the division. Not much has changed, and if anything, the offense is worse off.
AVOID.
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Raiders odds to win AFC
- +4500 (bet $100 to win $4500)
The Raiders are not a roster built for a championship run. If this team was simply able to get to 7-10, and somehow exceed its projected win total, that would be amazing.
In short, PASS on the Raiders making the Super Bowl. While, man, how nice would it be to hit a $100 bet, multiplying up by 45 times? But there are crazy 10-team parlays that have a better shot of hitting than the Raiders making the Super Bowl. It would be a monumental upset if they were to even sniff the playoffs.
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