[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Kansas City Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions, holding off the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 last February in a thrilling overtime victory. The Chiefs have been in the Super Bowl in consecutive seasons, and they’ve won 3 times since Feb. 2, 2020, with 4 appearances in the big game in the past 5 seasons.
With success comes problems and/or notoriety. WR Rashee Rice was involved in an off-field driving incident in Dallas, while right or wrong, PK Harrison Butker has been catching heat for voicing his Catholic beliefs during a commencement speech at the Benedictine College.
The Chiefs have certainly been making headlines during the offseason, but what can we expect on the field? It’s pretty amazing, but the players above actually found a way to move Travis Kelce and pop star Taylor Swift to the back burner.
Coach Andy Reid has secured his spot in Canton in the NFL Hall of Fame with 3 Super Bowl victories in the past 5 seasons. The way fans got sick of the New England Patriots and QB Tom Brady, people are starting to sour on the Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes. They’re the new dynasty, and the Chiefs aren’t going away anytime soon. In fact, they just might be getting started.
Below, we look at the Kansas City Chiefs’ 2024 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
2024 Kansas City Chiefs schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET | |||
| 1 | Sept. 5 (Th) | vs. Ravens | 8:20 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 15 | vs. Bengals | 4:25 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 22 | at Falcons | 8:20 p.m. |
| 4 | Sept. 29 | at Chargers | 4:25 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 7 (M) | vs. Saints | 8:15 p.m. |
| 6 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 7 | Oct. 20 | at 49ers | 4:25 p.m. |
| 8 | Oct. 27 | at Raiders | 4:25 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 4 (M) | vs. Buccaneers | 8:15 p.m. |
| 10 | Nov. 10 | vs. Broncos | 1 p.m. |
| 11 | Nov. 17 | at Bills | 4:25 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 24 | at Panthers | 1 p.m. |
| 13 | Nov. 29 (F) | vs. Raiders | 3 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 8 | vs. Chargers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 15 | at Browns | 1 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 21 (Sa) | vs. Texans | 1 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 25 (W) | at Steelers | 1 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 4 or 5 | at Broncos | TBD |
FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
Live games, analysis and more 7 days a week: Get ESPN+
Chiefs over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 21 at 9:01 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 11.5 wins: (Over: -122 | Under: +100)
According to the Sharp Football Analysis, which based its calculations off the Vegas Forecasted Win Totals, the Chiefs have the 12th-easiest schedule in the NFL. Their implied line of 11.5 wins is exactly the same as projections by most sportsbooks.
After perusing the schedule for Kansas City, 12 victories seems to be easily within reach. We’ll find out a lot about the Chiefs early on, even in preseason. There have been a lot of distractions, and we still don’t know what the fallout will be with the Rice situation.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see Kansas City struggle at times, similar to the 2023 season. Fans were writing the Chiefs off after a sluggish start by the offense, along with a mid-season losing streak which saw the team go just 3-5 from Weeks 8 through 16. Things obviously worked out, and disaster was averted.
The Chiefs have a supposed neutral schedule, but they’ll face 4 contenders in the first 4 weekends, with 3 primetime games in the first 5 outings. Trips to Atlanta, Buffalo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh and San Francisco in the non-division part of the road schedule is certainly going to be a test, too.
However, this is Mahomes and Reid. This dynamic duo doesn’t fold to pressure, and even if Rice is punished and forced to miss time, they just seem to find that next guy to plug in. And, don’t forget, the team added WR Marquise Brown to the receivers room, and TE Irv Smith Jr. is an underrated signing. And QB Carson Wentz was brought in as an insurance policy the Chiefs hope they never have to use.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs retained DE Mike Danna, LB Drue Tranquill and DT Tershawn Wharton, while also bringing back stalwart DT Chris Jones. Those are all key pieces of the championship defense.
The play is on OVER 11.5 (-122), and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Chiefs get to at least 13 victories.
Chiefs Super Bowl odds
- +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
The great teams, especially the dynasties, are super calculating. They know when the cut players loose, when to take on salary, and how to operate wisely with the salary cap to make moves which not only keep everybody financially happy, but keep the team moving forward and winning regularly.
The Chiefs are basically the new Patriots, America, and we all just have to deal with it.
Mahomes will turn just 29 years old on Sept. 17, so this ride isn’t close to being over. And the team went out and snapped up WR Xavier Worthy in the 1st round of the 2024 NFL Draft to get him another downfield threat, in addition to the Brown free agency move. So, with or without Rice, this team is anything but cooked.
The San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the favorites, followed by the Chiefs (+600) and Baltimore Ravens (+950).
At +600, Kansas City has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of 14.29% or 6/1 fractional odds.
The Carolina Panthers have the longest odds in the NFL at +30000, while the New England Patriots have the longest odds in the AFC at +18000, with the division rivals Denver Broncos and Washington Commanders not far behind at +15000.
It’s a boring play, but still a very good one. CHIEFS (+600) to win the Super Bowl can help you multiply up by 6 times, and it’s conceivable we very well could have a Super Bowl rematch with the 49ers.
Will Chiefs make the playoffs?
- Yes -450 | No +330
The Chiefs missing the playoffs would be an absolute stunner. Even for the biggest Chiefs hater, you’d simply be throwing money away, barring an unexpected season-ending injury to Mahomes.
On the flip side, even if it appears to be a sure thing, risking 4 1/2 times your potential return, and tying that money up for several months, just doesn’t make any sense. There are better values and futures bets elsewhere, for the Chiefs, or other teams, too.
PASS.
Odds to win AFC West Division
- Chiefs -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Chargers +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Raiders +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
- Broncos +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Kansas City’s implied probability of winning the AFC West is 30.30% or 23/10 fractional odds. The Chiefs are heavy favorites to win the division, with Jim Harbaugh’s Chargers expected to give chase and provide the biggest competition.
We’ve seen what happens when expectations are heaped upon the Bolts, or even the Raiders or Broncos. To be the best, you have to beat the best, and you know who is beating the Chiefs? Nooooobody, to steal a line from Harbaugh. At least, nobody in the AFC West is beating the Chiefs.
The only team that can beat the Chiefs is, perhaps, the Chiefs themselves, or an NFC team in the Super Bowl.
Still, PASS on this wager, as risking more than 2 times your potential return, and keeping that money tied up for the entire season until props bets are graded at season’s end, is not a good utilization of your funds.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Chiefs odds to win AFC
- +370 (bet $100 to win $370)
The CHIEFS (+370) are the chalk to win the AFC, yet still represent a decent value.
You can multiply up nearly 4 times your potential return if the Chiefs simply qualify for the Super Bowl, even if they aren’t able to secure another Lombardi Trophy.
Kansas City has made the Super Bowl 3 times in the past 5 years, which is a 60% conversion rate, so this is about as safe of a futures bet in the NFL that there has been across the past half-decade.
If we’re being serious, the Balitmore Ravens (+490) are probably the most realistic team of ending that AFC dominance, but QB Lamar Jackson and the Ravens seem to fold in the postseason after rolling through the regular season.
Until Baltimore starts dominating in the postseason, go with the tried and true option, and mitigate your risk. The same thing goes for the Buffalo Bills (+700), as they’re great in the regular season, and disappointing in the playoffs, especially if the Chiefs are involved.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NFL coverage:
BetFTW | TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]