2024 John Deere Classic odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

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With only a couple of weeks left before the Open Championship, the PGA Tour heads to Illinois for the 2024 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. Sepp Straka will look to defend his title after winning this event last year with a score of 21-under par.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 John Deere Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Patrick Cantlay was in the field and the overwhelming favorite, but he withdrew on Monday with no reason given. Sungjae Im now has the best odds at +1400, followed by Straka (+1600) and Jordan Spieth (+1800) – a 2-time champion of this event.

TPC Deere Run is a par 71 and 7,289 yards long. It’s typically a birdie fest for players, giving them ample scoring opportunities throughout the week. The winning score has been between 18-under par and 27-under par in each of the last 13 years, so scores are typically low. And while the fairways are very wide, the rough is penalizing so accuracy off the tee is important.

John Deere Classic: Best prop bet picks and predictions

John Deere Classic – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:04 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+1400)

Im struggled in the first few months of the season but he’s absolutely turned things around. He finished 3rd at the Travelers Championship, which was his 5th top-12 finish in his last 7 starts. Sure, he missed the cut at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open, but in low-scoring events like the John Deere Classic, he has a great shot to win – especially with Cantlay out.

Aaron Rai (+2200)

Rai is playing some excellent golf right now, finishing 23rd or better in 5 of his last 7 starts – including a runner-up at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on Sunday and a T-4 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. He was 4th in SG: approach last week in Detroit so his iron game is on point and his play off the tee is perfect for TPC Deere Run: He’s accurate (7th on tour) but not very long (138th).

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John Deere Classic picks – Contenders

Lucas Glover (+5500)

Glover plays this event just about every year and it’s easy to understand why. In 14 starts here, he’s had 3 top-10s and 6 top-25 finishes, including a win in 2021. Just last year, he tied for 6th with 4 rounds in the 60s. While his recent form isn’t great, bet on course history with Glover.

Seamus Power (+5000)

Power is a horse for TPC Deere Run and the John Deere Classic. In 5 starts, he’s had 4 top-25 finishes and has notched 3 top-16 finishes. In his last 9 starts this season, he’s alternated MCs and top-30 finishes each week but he’ll try to break that trend after finishing 20th at the Travelers Championship in his most recent start.

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John Deere Classic picks – Long shots

Neal Shipley (+8000)

Shipley made his 1st start as a pro last week in Detroit and didn’t miss a beat after impressive showings at the Masters and U.S. Open. He finished 20th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and will look to build some momentum at TPC Deere Run with another top 20. He’s certainly playing well enough to win a PGA Tour event soon.

Ryan Moore (+12500)

Moore has played the John Deere Classic 14 times since 2006, winning it in 2016 and finishing with 4 top 10s. Before missing the cut here last year, he had finished 24th, 2nd and 18th in his previous 3 starts at TPC Deere Run.

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