2024 Goodyear 400 odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series Darlington Raceway Sunday for the 2024 Goodyear 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Goodyear 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Goodyear 400: What you need to know

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin leads all active drivers with 4 wins and an 8.4 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 23 career Cup starts at Darlington
Hamlin also leads all drivers with 978 laps led, and he has posted 12 top-5 finishes among 16 top-10 runs
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has managed just 1 win in his 12 career Darlington Cup starts, but he has a 9.4 AFP and 770 laps led. His AFP is 2nd only to Hamlin among active drivers
23XI Racing’s Tyler Reddick ranks 3rd among all active drivers with an 11.3 AFP in 9 career Cup starts at Darlington, but he has no wins with 3 top-5 finishes and 102 laps led
Penske Racing’s Joey Logano has a win among 6 top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs with 293 laps led with a 13.2 AFP in 20 career Cup starts at the “Lady in Black”
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has just 2 top-10 finishes in 17 career Cup starts at Darlington, posting a dismal 26.8 AFP
Trackhouse Racing’s Daniel Suarez has struggled over the years at Darlington, posting a poor 23.9 AFP with just 1 top-10 finish and 1 lap led with 3 DNFs in 12 career Cup starts at the track
Penske’s Austin Cindric has also struggled at Darlington. In his 4 career Cup starts here, he has a 21.0 AFP. His best finish at the South Carolina oval is 16th
Hendrick’s Chase Elliott has a dismal 17.0 AFP in 14 career Darlington Cup starts with 4 top-5 finishes among 7 top-10 runs at with 3 DNFs

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2024 Goodyear 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+450) has the 2nd-shortest odds to win at Darlington, right behind the chalk, which is Larson (+400).

Hamlin has dominated over the years at the venerable South Carolina track, while posting 4 checkered flags in 23 career Cup starts. He has managed 12 top-5 finishes in those Cup runs, which equates to 52.2% of his career starts at the track. That’s easily the best rate among all active drivers. Plus, 16 of his runs have resulted in top-10 finishes, or a 69.6% conversion rate.

2024 Goodyear 400 – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2500) hasn’t had a great season by his standards, ranking just 17th in the NASCAR Cup Series standings with 269 points, 198 behind the leader (Larson) through 12 starts.

Logano is coming off a dismal 34th-place showing at the AdventHealth 400 last weekend in Kansas, and he has finished 11th or worse in 4 straight starts.

While there haven’t been a lot of signs of Logano pulling out of his nosedive, perhaps a start at Darlington will get him going. He has a checkered flag in 20 career Cup starts among his 10 top-10 finishes with 293 laps led and a 13.2 AFP. He is certainly worth a roll of the dice for a chance to multiply up by 25 times.

If you’re a little more conservative, LOGANO TOP-10 FINISH (+100) is still reasonably priced.

2024 Goodyear 400 – Props and matchbets

KYLE BUSCH (+126) over Brad Keselowski (-164) is a solid matchbet play.

Busch has a win among 6 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with a 13.3 AFP in 24 career Cup starts at Darlington, while leading the pack in 899 laps.

While Keselowski actually has a higher career AFP (11.4) at Darlington, he is really struggling lately. The RFK Racing driver had back-to-back runner-up finishes at Texas and Talladega, but he also has 5 finishes of 24th or higher in 12 starts this season. Busch is a little steadier, and will get the job done H2H.

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