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The NASCAR Cup Series is back after the Olympic break, returning Sunday for the 2024 Cook Out 400 at to Richmond Raceway. Green flag is slated to drop shortly after 6 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Cook Out 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
2024 Cook Out 400: What you need to know
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin, the Chesterfield, Va. native, won the Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond back on March 31 earlier this season, leading just 17 of the 407 laps. He is on the pole for Sunday
- Hamlin has 5 checkered flags at Richmond, while posting 19 top-5 finishes and 2,243 laps led in 35 Cup starts with an 8.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
- Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with a 7.4 AFP (min. 3 Cup starts) and 6 wins at Richmond, although most of that production came as a member of JGR. He goes off from the 12th spot
- Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 2 wins in 30 career Cup starts with 14 top-5 finishes, 951 laps led and a 9.7 AFP at Richmond. He starts 9th on Sunday
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson has 2 career Cup wins at Richmond, while posting 5 top-5 runs and 9 top-10 showings with 329 laps led and a 10.8 AFP in 19 starts. Larson starts 15th in the grid
- TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain will start 22nd Sunday. He has just a single top-5 finish in 11 Cup tries at Richmond with a dismal 20.7 AFP
- 23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace is starting 8th Sunday. His best-career finish at Richmond is 12th, posting a 21.8 AFP in 12 Cup starts
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2024 Cook Out 400 – Expert pick
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:29 a.m. ET.
DENNY HAMLIN (+350) is the best bet for Sunday’s race. He normally gets up for these races on his home track and he is difficult to beat.
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson (+700) is a better value, but he doesn’t have the advantage of picking his pit stall first. Pit road is cramped at Richmond, and picking an advantageous pit stall can be the difference between contending, and simply having to struggle to get a top-10 finish.
2024 Brickyard 400 – Contender
RCR’s KYLE BUSCH (+4000) just hasn’t been himself in the No. 8 machine, but you have to keep playing him, even of a little bit of money, at the tracks he has traditionally dominated.
While Busch ended up just 20th in the Toyota Owners 400 back in late March, he goes off 12th Sunday. Don’t be surprised to see Busch challenge for a win, and a potential playoff spot.
If you’re a little more conservative, KYLE BUSCH — TOP-10 FINISH (+135) at plus-money is still a value.
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2024 Brickyard 400 – Prop Bet
JOSH BERRY — TOP-10 FINISH (-155) is moderately priced, but still worth a roll of the dice for this prop.
Berry will go off from the 3rd spot Sunday after posting a speed of 117.601 mph in qualifying. He is the top qualifying Ford in the field. He doesn’t have a lengthy Cup history at Richmond, but he was 2nd and 11th in his 2 previous starts. A top-10 showing would not be surprising in the least.
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