France (0-1-0 / W-D-L) takes on Brazil (1-0-0) in the 2023 Women’s World Cup Saturday. Kickoff from Brisbane Stadium in Australia is set for 6 a.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the France vs. Brazil odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
France is part of a loaded Group F that also includes Jamaica and Panama. It drew Jamaica 0-0 in its opener despite having 8 more shots and 3 more shots on target, respectively ending with 14 and 5. France controlled possession for 73% of the match yet failed to net a goal. It is among the World Cup favorites, sitting 5th on the FIFA Women’s World Rankings while Jamaica is 43rd.
Brazil is ranked 8th. While 37-year-old F Marta is still on the roster, Brazil was led by M Ary Borges in Monday’s win. Borges netted a hat trick as Brazil blasted No. 52 Panama 4-0, ending with 32 shots and 10 on target. Brazil has won 3 straight matches and is 11-1-3 over its last 12 calendar months.
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France vs. Brazil odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:22 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: France +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Brazil +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Draw +210
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +125 | U: -175)
France vs. Brazil picks and predictions
Prediction
Brazil 2, France 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN BRAZIL (+155).
Brazil has looked every bit the part of a team that can win the 2023 Women’s World Cup. It dominated Panama in every aspect, and unlike France, it was able to convert against a weaker opponent in the final 3rd. Its success against teams like Germany (2-1 win April 11) and England (1-1 draw April 6) are telling where it is at from a consistency perspective.
France didn’t have too many quality wins this calendar year and lost 1-0 to Australia in its last game prior to the World Cup. It isn’t playing at Brazil’s level right now.
Take BRAZIL (+155).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+125).
Brazil has gone Over this total in 4 of its last 5 matches with the lone 1 missing this total being a 1-1 draw with England. It won 2-1 against Germany (ranked No. 2) and lost 2-1 against the United States (ranked No. 1) in its last 5 matches. It can score on top-tier sides.
France might not have tallied a goal, but it did manage the opportunities which should lend most to believe it will have ample goal-scoring chances again. With 14 shots, expect France’s attack to be better in the final 3rd against Brazil. It has gone Over this total in 3 of its last 5 matches, scoring 3 or more in 2 of its last 5.
Given Brazil’s ability to play with pace and score against elite nation, take OVER 2.5 (+125).
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