It’s another loaded field this week at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, which has returned to Quail Hollow Club after a year at TPC Potomac. This is the latest designated event on the PGA Tour schedule and features some of the biggest names, including Rory McIlroy, Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning from Charlotte, N.C.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Two names missing from this field are Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, but there’s still plenty of firepower. In addition to McIlroy, Cantlay and Spieth, Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele and Cameron Young are also in the field and among the favorites to win at Quail Hollow this week.
Quail Hollow Club is 7,538 yards and plays as a par-71, often ranking among the toughest courses on tour. It took a year off from hosting the Wells Fargo in 2022 as the course prepared to host the Presidents Cup, but major championships have been held here in the past, including the 2017 PGA Championship (won by Justin Thomas).
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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:11 p.m. ET.
Max Homa (+450)
The defending champ has already won this event here, breaking through back in 2019. He also played really well at Quail Hollow in the Presidents Cup last year, helping lead the Americans to a win. He comes in with 2 top-10s in his last 4 starts and has already won twice this season.
Patrick Cantlay (+260)
Cantlay hasn’t won yet this season, but he has finished in the top 10 in more than half of his starts (6 of 11). Course history isn’t on his side after missing the cut in 2021, but his game translates everywhere and he’s great at avoiding bogeys, a critical stat at this venue.
Sungjae Im (+450)
Im has been on a tear lately, making the cut in 15 of his 16 starts this season with top-20 finishes in each of his last 4 stroke-play events – including two 6th-place finishes and a T-7. He came in 31st here in 2019 but is a legitimate contender this week.
Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):
- Rickie Fowler (+600)
- Jason Day (+500)
- Viktor Hovland (+400)
Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks
Jason Day (+240)
Day is due for a win. He has 11 top-10s in 14 events played this season, along with 6 top-10s. And now he comes to a course where he won in 2018 and finished 9th the year prior in 2017. He should be in contention this week as he seeks his 1st win on tour in 5 years.
Cam Davis (+650)
Davis should have shorter odds than he does this week. He has 2 top-10 finishes in his last 4 starts and finished 26th in the Wells Fargo Championship in 2021. He’s trending up coming into this week’s designated event.
Rickie Fowler (+275)
Fowler’s outright odds of +3300 feel a bit short, but there’s still value to be had with the 2012 champion. In his last 5 starts at Quail Hollow, he’s finished in the top 5 three times, just to show how well he’s played here. He’s a good bet for a top-10.
Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):
- Keith Mitchell (+450)
Wells Fargo Championship – Top-20 picks
Webb Simpson (+400)
In his last Wells Fargo Championship appearances, Simpson has 2 top-25s and 3 top-35 finishes. It hasn’t been the best season for him with 6 missed cuts in 11 events, but he’s close to home in North Carolina and has played well here in the past.
Brian Harman (+240)
Harman has played Quail Hollow 5 times since 2016 and has finished in the top 35 four times. He’s coming off a T-7 at the RBC Heritage a few weeks ago and already has 7 top-25s in 15 starts this season.
Gary Woodland (+220)
Woodland isn’t having a spectacular season by any means, but he’s been a consistent cut-maker and comes to a course where he finished 5th in 2021. He also finished 24th in 2016 and 22nd at the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow.
Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):
- Joel Dahmen (+375)
- Cam Davis (+300)
- Jason Day (+110)
Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Viktor Hovland (-110) vs. Jordan Spieth (-110)
This is a matchup between two guys who rarely play Quail Hollow. Spieth finished 28th at the 2017 PGA Championship and Hovland came in 3rd two years ago at the Wells Fargo Championship, so they’ve both played well here. But I’ll take Hovland and his ball striking, which will be critical on a difficult course where par is often good enough.
Jason Day (-130) vs. Sam Burns (+105)
In the last 5 tournaments held at Quail Hollow, Burns has only played 2 of them and finished 55th with a WD the other year. Day, on the other hand, won here in 2018 and came in 9th in 2017, so he’s thrived here in the past.
Wells Fargo Championship – Top Continental Europe
Viktor Hovland (+110)
Stephan Jaeger (+500) is the 2nd-favorite to be the top continental European this week, which makes Hovland the heavy favorite. He should be. Following a 3rd-place finish in 2021, he clearly has the game to succeed at Quail Hollow.
Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader
Tommy Fleetwood (+5000)
Fleetwood fired a 1st-round 67 en route to a 14th-place finish at this tournament in 2021. He’s a good iron player and hits greens at a high rate, which will give him birdie looks on a tough course.
Justin Thomas (+3300)
Thomas can’t be happy with the way he’s played this season. However, this could be the event that jumpstarts him heading into the 2nd major. He won here in 2017 at the PGA Championship.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group B winner: Max Homa (+400)
Homa has the longest odds in this group, behind Cameron Young (+300), Collin Morikawa (+350), Hovland (+350) and Im (+375). As much as I like Im and Hovland this week, Homa’s odds are too long to pass up.
Winning margin: 1 shot (+240)
In a loaded field on a difficult course, the scores should be close down the stretch, leading to a dramatic finish. A 1-shot margin is the best way to play this.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds, course history and picks to win
- Jim Furyk named captain of 2024 United States Presidents Cup team
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