2023 U.S. Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

The 3rd major of the year will be held in Southern California this week as the world’s best players take on Los Angeles Country Club in the 2023 U.S. Open. It’s the toughest test in golf and LACC is fully expected to uphold that tradition in its debut as a U.S. Open course. The 1st round will begin on Thursday from Beverly Hills.

Below, we look at the 2023 U.S. Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1 player in the world, is once again the betting favorite this week (+700) as he seeks to win his 1st U.S. Open title and 2nd career major. Jon Rahm has the 2nd-best odds to win (+1000), followed by reigning PGA Championship winner Brooks Koepka (+1100) in the 3rd spot. Defending U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick is +3300 to keep the trophy this week.

Los Angeles Country Club is going to test every aspect of a player’s game, featuring wider-than-usual fairways for a U.S. Open, but also the iconic deep rough around the greens and lengthy layout. This week, it’ll play as a par 70 at 7,421 yards, with just 3 par 5s and 5 par 3s. The par 3s will be a real brute, with 2 of them playing upwards of 280 yards, making them some of the longest in U.S. Open history. There’s also a par 3, the 15th hole, set to play under 100 yards.

2023 U.S. Open Championship

Follow the 2023 U.S. Open Championship leaderboard, scores, news, groupings, course details and more from Golfweek and USA TODAY. Catch the tournament June 15-18.

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U.S. Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+1100)

Koepka is healthy and still fully motivated to win every major he can, already taking home the Wanamaker Trophy at the PGA Championship last month – after finishing T-2 at the Masters in April. It’s reasonable to consider him the favorite this week in a tournament he’s already won twice, absolutely excelling on courses that are challenging and require players to grind.

Xander Schauffele (+2000)

There probably isn’t a player in the world with a better track record in the U.S. Open without a win than Schauffele. He has 5 top-7 finishes in 6 starts in this tournament, with the only exception being a T-14 last year. He’s due for a major title and with his tee-to-green play, this could be the week he gets it done.

Max Homa (+2800)

You’ll hear it a million times this week: Homa knows this place well and holds the course record after shooting a 9-under 61 at the Pac-12 Championship in 2013 when he was at Cal. His major championship track record is nothing to be enamored by – nothing better than a T-40 in his career – but this is the perfect time for him to break through with a strong week in his home state.

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U.S. Open picks – Contenders

Rickie Fowler (+6600)

Fowler has 6 top-10 finishes and a whopping 12 top-25s in 17 starts this season, putting together one of the best years of his career despite not having a victory. In his last 11 stroke play events, he has 9 top-20s, has made the cut 10 times and has finished no worse than a T-31 when he has played the weekend. His last 2 starts were T-6 and T-9 so he comes in in great form, too.

Justin Rose (+4000)

Rose knows what it takes to win this tournament, having done so in 2013. He, too, comes in playing some excellent golf, finishing T-9, T-12 and 8th in his last 3 starts, with the T-9 coming in the PGA Championship after tying for 16th at the Masters. He’s been abysmal off the tee (104th in strokes gained) this season, but with wider fairways, his poor accuracy with the driver will be mitigated.

Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)

There are few players I like more than Fleetwood this week. While you could’ve gotten his odds much longer a few months ago, he’s still worth the price at +4000 with the way he’s playing. He lost to Nick Taylor in a playoff at the RBC Canadian Open on Sunday, which was his 4th top-10 of the season and 7th top-25. Only 9 players rank higher than him in SG: tee-to-green and he’s 6th on tour in total strokes gained. He’s the complete package right now.

U.S. Open picks – Long shots

Min Woo Lee (+12500)

In his last 6 major starts, these are Lee’s results: T-14, MC, T-27, T-21, MC and T-18. Add in a T-6 in his Players Championship debut this year and it’s clear he has the game for marquee events. The young Australian finished T-27 in his U.S. Open debut last year and could follow that up with another high finish this week. He’s worth a long-shot bet.

Eric Cole (+20000)

Cole didn’t play the Masters this year but he tied for 15th at the PGA Championship and tied for 27th at the Players. He nearly won the Honda Classic in February when he lost in a playoff and he’s fresh off a T-6 at the RBC Canadian Open after shooting 63 on Sunday. He has 5 top-25 finishes in his last 7 starts so the recent form is there.

Keegan Bradley (+8000)

Bradley has cooled off a little bit after a hot start to the season, but he’s still made the cut in 5 straight starts with no finish worse than T-48. That stretch includes a T-23 at the Masters and T-29 at the PGA, continuing to play well in the majors the last 2 years.

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