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The Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) in Super Bowl LVII on Sunday night to determine the next NFL champion. Kickoff will be at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX) from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for Miles Sanders’ Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Sanders has been the Eagles’ top rusher all season, averaging a career-best 74.6 yards per game on the ground during the regular season. He ranked 5th in the NFL in rushing with 1,269 yards, while also scoring 11 rushing TDs.
Sanders has played in all 19 games for the Eagles this season, rushing for at least 50 yards in 13 of those contests. He was a big reason the Eagles ranked 5th in rushing this season, leading the NFL with 32 scores on the ground as a team.
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Miles Sanders 2023 Super Bowl prop bets
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:33 p.m. ET.
Rushing yards: OVER 61.5 (-120)
Sanders has rushed for at least 61 yards in 11 of his 19 games this season, and that includes the Eagles’ playoff win over the Giants when he had 90 yards despite only playing 40% of the offensive snaps.
In the last 4 games, he’s played 40% or fewer of the offensive snaps, largely because the Eagles haven’t needed him to handle a heavy workload. He never played fewer than half the snaps before Week 17.
I expect him to get back to his regular snap share and touches on Sunday in what should be a competitive, close game. The Eagles offense goes as the ground game does and Sanders is their best running back.
Take OVER 61.5 (-120).
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Rushing attempts: OVER 13.5 (+100)
Sanders’ workload has been tough to predict late in the season, finishing with fewer than 13 carries in 4 of his last 6 games. However, it’s almost as if the Eagles were saving him by limiting his touches in those games, especially in their blowout win over the 49ers in the NFC title game.
He’s had at least 15 carries in 10 of his 19 games this year and so long as this one doesn’t turn lopsided, I’d expect the Eagles to ride him in the backfield.
Take OVER 13.5 (+100).
Receiving yards: UNDER 4.5 (-115)
Sanders is not involved in the passing game much. The Eagles have Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott for that. He has just 2 catches and 9 yards receiving in the last 5 games combined, going 3 straight games without a single catch. QB Jalen Hurts isn’t even looking his way much, targeting Sanders just twice in the last 4 games.
He could go over this total with 1 catch, but he’s only averaging 3.9 yards per catch this season. So even 1 reception may not get him there.
Take UNDER 4.5 (-115).
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Receptions: UNDER 1.5 (-190)
Sanders hasn’t had more than 1 catch in a game since Week 14 and he’s only had multiple catches twice since Week 6. Again, he’s not a receiving back.
I would lean heavily toward the Under here, but it’s not worth a bet at -200.
PASS.
Touchdown(s)
- Anytime (-105) | 2+: (+475) | 3+: (+2000)
BET ANYTIME (-105) and make a small wager on 2+ (+475).
Sanders has had a nose for the end zone this season, scoring 11 times in 19 games. It’s reasonable for him to be close to even money, with the biggest threat to his goal line carries being Hurts. But with Hurts nursing a shoulder injury, the Eagles might give Sanders more looks inside the 5.
A sprinkle on Sanders to score twice, which he did in 4 games this year, is also worth a wager.
Rushing yards
- 40+: (-500) | 50+: (-295) | 60+: (-120) | 70+: (+160)
- 80+: (+195) | +90: (+305) | 100+: (+500)
AVOID.
Since we’re already backing OVER 61.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115), there’s no need to double down on this prop.
You could sprinkle a bet on Sanders to go Over 100 yards rushing against the Chiefs’ 15th-ranked run defense in terms of DVOA, but he’s only topped 100 yards 3 times this season. He’s hit 90 yards 5 times, so there’s a little bit of value there, too.
But the presence of Gainwell and Scott makes Sanders’ rushing props tougher to predict.
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
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