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The Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) battle the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) in Super Bowl LVII Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for A.J. Brown’s Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Brown set the Eagles’ single-season receiving record with 1,496 yards, which was 4th in the NFL this season.
With 88 receptions and 11 TDs, he and QB Jalen Hurts were the connection the Eagles were hoping for when they traded for Brown on draft day. Now, he’ll need to prove himself once again during the Super Bowl after a lackluster playoff run so far.
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A.J. Brown 2023 Super Bowl prop bets
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:07 p.m. ET.
Receiving yards: OVER 71.5 (-115)
This is the tougher of the 2 wagers on Brown in this one. While he is all but assured to get Over the 4.5 receptions being offered (mentioned below), yards have been difficult for him to come by in the playoffs.
He had 4 catches for 28 yards against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game and 3 receptions for 22 yards vs. the New York Giants in the Divisional Round.
These numbers will increase in the Super Bowl as the Chiefs are the worst team in the NFL when it comes to opponents’ TD passes. They allowed a league-worst 33 during the season.
Hurts will look to throw and, going against a young secondary, he will find his talented duo of receivers for plenty of yards. Both Brown and WR DeVonta Smith could go for Over 100 receiving yards.
TAKE OVER 71.5 YARDS (-115).
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Receptions: OVER 4.5 (-150)
Brown will get to 4.5 receptions. This is why the odds are tilted sharply in this manner. (Under 4.5 is +120)
Despite his lack of yardage in the playoffs, 5 is an easy number for Brown to catch in this Super Bowl, especially against a Kansas City defense which is going to be starting 3 and possibly 4 rookies.
Expect Hurts to look for Brown early and often. This could go Over by halftime.
TAKE OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS (-150) or get an alternate number at better odds.
Touchdown(s)
- ANYTIME (+120) | 2+: (+700) | 3+: (+4000)
Make a play on ANYTIME (+120).
A small play on 2+ (+700) is also an option, and while he had 3 in one game this season, I don’t see it … even at +4000.
Receiving yards
- 50+: (-295) | 75+: (-110) | 100+: (+245)
- 125+ (+550) | 150+ (+1200)
If you want to climb the ladder with wagers, you could. Decide on the number you think he will get and wager all numbers up to that point. If he gets to 150 and you bet all numbers below, it will win you some good money. If he fails to make is, you could still win some money with the lower levels cashing in.
I don’t see Brown getting to 150+, but taking the ladder to 125+ is a good option.
Big game countdown
A.J. Brown to record 8+ receptions: +475
(Max bet: $50)
This was offered Tuesday by Tipico Sportsbook, but it’s since been removed. If it returns, it’s worth considering.
While Brown doesn’t normally get 8 receptions in a game, this wager is worth a few dollars as the Chiefs could be playing 4 rookies in the secondary. As mentioned, the Chiefs gave up the most passing TDs in the league this season (33). They are prone to giving up stats in the passing game, so I would put a little bit on this “big game” play.
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
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