2023 RBC Heritage prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 RBC Heritage with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

There will be no break for the best players in the world coming out of Augusta. Most of them will be in the field again this week for the 2023 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, the next designated event on the PGA Tour schedule.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 RBC Heritage odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Masters champion Jon Rahm will tee it up again this week and he comes in as the No. 1 player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. All of the top 6 players in the rankings are in the field this week, as well: Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa. Rory McIlroy is No. 7, but he withdrew on Monday.

Harbour Town is a much different course than Augusta National, playing as a par 71 and just 7,121 yards. There are water hazards and bunkers all over the course, protecting greens and making for some difficult tee shots into narrow fairways. Great ball strikers will have a big advantage this week with tight fairways and small greens.

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RBC Heritage – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+260)

Cantlay lost to Jordan Spieth in a playoff last year, which was his 4th top-10 finish here and his 3rd top-5. He seems to love Harbour Town, making the cut 4 out of 5 times. His odds are pretty short for a top-5, but with 3 such finishes already on his resume here, it’s worth betting.

Collin Morikawa (+400)

A shorter course that emphasizes accuracy off the tee and into greens makes this a perfect fit for Morikawa, who’s trending in the right direction after a top 10 at the Masters. He tied for 7th here in 2021, his best finish in 3 tries. He should be considered a favorite to win this week.

Sungjae Im (+500)

Im is an elite ball striker who excels at courses where the scores dip deep into red territory. He tied for 13th and 21st in his last 2 starts at the RBC Heritage, proving to be a good fit at Harbour Town. He finished 16th at the Masters last week, his 3rd straight top 25 this season.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Cameron Young (+450)
  • Jordan Spieth (+400)

RBC Heritage – Top-10 picks

Cameron Young (+200)

Young tied for 3rd in his tournament debut last year, using his power to hit long irons and fairway woods off the tee instead of his driver. He’s fresh off a 7th-place finish at the Masters and was the runner-up at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, performing extremely well since putting Paul Tesori on the bag.

Tom Kim (+333)

Kim won the Wyndham Championship last year at Sedgefield, which is 10 yards longer than Harbour Town. It’s a similar course with small greens, making this a great opportunity for Kim. His odds for a top 10 are too good to pass up and he could very well go on to win here.

Collin Morikawa (+175)

For all the reasons listed above, I would also consider taking Morikawa for a top-10 finish. It’s a bit safer than a top 5 and at +175, you’re still getting him at a great number in an event that fits his game perfectly.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Keegan Bradley (+650)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+500)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+333)

RBC Heritage – Top-20 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+225)

Fleetwood tied for 10th here last year and 25th in 2019, so he’s found success at Harbour Town before. He also ranks 12th in SG: tee-to-green, which might be the most indicative stat in this event.

Russell Henley (+188)

Henley tied for 4th at the Masters last week, continuing what’s already been a good season for him. He also notched a top-20 at the Players Championship by finishing tied for 19th, using his impressive iron play to pepper greens and give himself birdie looks. He has 2 top 10s in 9 appearances here.

Gary Woodland (+333)

Woodland has only played here twice and although he’s made the cut both times, he hasn’t finished better than T-62. He looked steady at Augusta and is hitting his irons well (20th in SG: approach).Bu

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Akshay Bhatia (+600)
  • Sepp Straka (+350)

RBC Heritage – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tom Kim (-110) vs. Sam Burns (-110)

I like Kim’s chances this week on a shorter course that rewards accurate approaches. He’s never played this event like Burns has (3 times), but this has the makings of a tournament he can win.

Cameron Young (-110) vs. Viktor Hovland (-110)

Young and Hovland have both only played this tournament once and they’re each coming off a strong performance at the Masters, tying for 7th. I’ll take Young with his recent form and top-3 finish here last year.

RBC Heritage – Top Canadian

Corey Conners (+225)

Conners let us down at the Masters by missing the cut after his win at the Valero Texas Open. I’ll go back to him here, though. He has 3 straight top-25 finishes in this event and is among the best iron players in the world. He’s ripe for a bounce-back performance at Harbour Town. Adam Hadwin (+333) is the next-closest player in this wager.

RBC Heritage – First-round leader

Sungjae Im (+4000)

Im has gone low here before, shooting 65 in the 2nd round in 2021 to help himself make the cut and finish T-13.His iron play will keep him in contention this week and he ranks 9th in Round 1 scoring average.

Cameron Young (+3500)

Young hasn’t been as impressive in Round 1 this season as he was last year when he finished 9th in that category but I love his chances to be the 1st-round leader this week. He was atop the leaderboard after shooting 63 in the opening round last year, his first professional round at Harbour Town.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Tyrrell Hatton (+250)

Hatton is going up against Conners (+333), Sahith Theegala (+350), Justin Rose (+450) and Rickie Fowler (+450) in this group. Theegala and Rose both played well at the Masters, but Fowler wasn’t in the field and Conners missed the cut. Hatton was in great form before the WGC Match Play, which I expect him to get back to this week.

Winning margin: 2 shots (+350)

The first 3 designated events were all won by 2 shots, which is either a coincidence or a trend to follow. It hasn’t happened since the Genesis Invitational, but with another loaded field, I think it’ll remain relatively close on Sunday.

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