The PGA Tour will make 1 more stop before the U.S. Open, heading to Oakdale Golf and Country Club for the 2023 RBC Canadian Open this week. The 1st round will begin on Thursday morning from Toronto, Ontario, with the champion being crowned on Sunday.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Rory McIlroy won this event the last 2 times it was played in 2022 and 2019; it was canceled in both 2019 and 2020 due to COVID-19. He’s once again the favorite to win this week, coming in with by far the shortest odds of any player at +450. Tyrrell Hatton, Matt Fitzpatrick and Sam Burns are also among the favorites at Oakdale.
This is the first time Oakdale Golf and Country Club has hosted the RBC Canadian Open, joining the event’s rotation this year with the course set to host again in 2026. It’s a par 72 and will play at 7,264 yards, making it a shorter course. However, the elevation changes make it longer than the listed yardage, and the small greens are difficult to hit.
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RBC Canadian Open – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:25 p.m. ET.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+300)
Fitzpatrick missed the cut at the PGA Championship and appeared to be on the verge of a 2nd straight MC when he was 5 over thru 14 holes on Thursday at the Memorial Tournament, but he quickly turned things around. He fired a 2nd-round 68 to make the cut before shooting 70 and 72 on the weekend, finishing T-9. It was an impressive bounce-back and could be a good sign heading into this week.
Justin Rose (+350)
Rose took last week off, but he’s been on a heater lately with 2 top-10s, 5 top-25s and 6 top-36 finishes in his last 6 starts. Those 2 top-10s came at the Players Championship and PGA Championship, too. Though it was at a different course, Rose finished T-4 at the RBC Canadian Open last year.
RBC Canadian Open – Top-10 picks
Tommy Fleetwood (+188)
Fleetwood should be able to navigate this course with his elite ball-striking, currently sitting 10th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green. He’ll have an edge on the field with fairways being so important to hit and the greens being as small as they are. He has 3 consecutive top-25 finishes coming into this week.
Matt Kuchar (+333)
Kuchar’s rounds of 79 and 84 at the Memorial Tournament really did him in, otherwise playing well on Friday and Saturday. He has 7 top-25 finishes this season and 4 top-10s, also finishing T-4 in this event in 2019. His odds of +333 feel a bit longer than they should be.
Shane Lowry (+180)
Lowry has finished in the top 12 in this event 3 times in a row, including a runner-up in 2019. He’s hitting the ball really well right now, ranking 16th in SG: tee-to-green, but his putter has failed him; he’s 176th in SG: putting so far this year. If this doesn’t turn into a putting contest, he should be in contention.
RBC Canadian Open – Top-20 picks
Ludvig Aberg (+210)
Aberg may be making his pro debut, but this isn’t his 1st PGA Tour event. He’s played in 5 already over the last 2 years, finishing T-24 and T-61 in his 2 starts this season; the T-24 was at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. I expect him to play well, especially after getting a warm-up day in the U.S. Open qualifier, finishing just 3 shots out of a qualifying spot.
David Lipsky (+250)
Lipsky has finished in the top 20 in back-to-back tournaments, going T-16 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and T-12 a the Memorial – despite shooting 5-over on Sunday. I’ll ride the hot hand with +250 odds for a top-20 finish.
RBC Canadian Open – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Matt Fitzpatrick (-125) vs. Sam Burns (+100)
Fitzpatrick has better recent form with 3 top-10s in his last 5 starts, including a win. Burns is heating up with back-to-back top-16s, but I like Fitzpatrick’s game on this course better.
Justin Rose (-110) vs. Corey Conners (-110)
Conners missed the cut last week, his 2nd MC in his last 5 starts. In that same span, Rose hasn’t finished worse than T-36 and has 3 top-16s. Rose is the pick here at even odds with Conners.
Matt Kuchar (+100) vs. Keith Mitchell (-125)
Mitchell has had mixed results lately, finishing no better than T-48 in his last 5 solo starts. Kuchar has been up and down a little bit, too, but at even money, I like him to finish higher than Mitchell.
RBC Canadian Open – Top Irish
Shane Lowry (+210)
This is one way to fade McIlroy, which may not be a bad idea given the news of the PGA Tour-LIV Golf merger that broke on Tuesday. McIlroy has said recently that he wanted to shift his focus more toward on-course performance instead of defending the PGA Tour, but that might be tough this week. Lowry only has to beat McIlroy and David Carey to cash this bet.
RBC Canadian Open – Top Swedish
Ludvig Aberg (+125)
Aberg is the favorite to finish as the top Swedish player, ahead of Vincent Norman (+188), Henrik Norlander (+500) and David Lingmerth (+600). It might seem risky to bet him in his pro debut, but Aberg is the most talented player of the bunch and this is a lower-risk way to back him this week.
RBC Canadian Open – First-round leader
Justin Rose (+3000)
Rose ranks 13th on tour in 1st-round scoring this season and has broken 70 in 4 straight opening rounds and 5 of his last 6.
More expert prop bet predictions
Group D winner: David Lipsky (+450)
Lipsky has the longest odds of anyone in this group, which consists of Joseph Bramlett (+300), Nick Taylor (+350), Eric Cole (+350) and Michael Kim (+350). With back-to-back top-20s, I like his odds this week in Canada.
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