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With The Open Championship rapidly approaching, many of the top players in the world will spend the week overseas for the PGA Tour’s co-sanctioned event, the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open. There will be PGA Tour and DP World Tour players teeing it up at the Renaissance Club in Scotland this week, getting in a final tune-up before the year’s 4th and final major at Royal Loverpool.
Below, we look at the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Defending champion Xander Schauffele is tied with Patrick Cantlay (+1400) for the 3rd-best odds in the field. Scottie Scheffler is the slight favorite at +700, just barely ahead of Rory McIlroy at +800. Jon Rahm is not playing in the Genesis Scottish Open this week.
This is the 5th time The Renaissance Club is hosting the tournament. It’s a newer course, having opened in 2007. In classic links golf fashion, holes are cut between areas of heavy fescue and because it was built through a forest, there are still plenty of trees on the course – though they don’t come into play all that often. It will play at 7,237 yards as a par 70 this week.
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Genesis Scottish Open – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:54 p.m. ET.
Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)
Fleetwood is in excellent form with 3 top-5s in his last 6 starts, including a runner-up in the RBC Canadian Open. He’s due for a win and while he doesn’t yet have one on the PGA Tour, he’s got a great chance this week in Scotland. He has 2 top-5s in his last 3 starts in this tournament.
Min Woo Lee (+3500)
Lee missed the cut here last year, but that was only after winning the whole thing in 2021. Having played so long on the DP World Tour, he’s used to playing links golf so his experience on courses like The Renaissance Club is plentiful. He’s a budding star ready to break out.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
Fitzpatrick has 3 top-15s in his last 4 starts here, including a runner-up to Lee in 2021. Obviously, he’s very comfortable playing links golf and has just 3 finishes outside the top 35 in his last 8 starts, including a win at the RBC Heritage. His price odds are short but for good reason.
Genesis Scottish Open picks – Contenders
Aaron Rai (+6600)
Rai was the champion in 2020, albeit against a weaker field. He followed that up with a 35th-place finish in 2021, as well. Rai is playing some great golf right now, with finishes of T-3, T-24 and T-9 in his last 3 starts, so there’s some momentum heading into Scotland.
Ludvig Aberg (+5500)
I won’t quit Aberg. Not with the way he’s playing. Outside of 2 poor rounds on the weekend at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he’s played some beautiful golf, finishing T-25, T-24, T-40 and T-4 in his 4 professional starts. With a 63 on Sunday at the John Deere Classic, he rocketed up the leaderboard.
Genesis Scottish Open picks – Long shots
Thomas Detry (+12500)
Detry is an extreme long shot but take a look at his last 4 finishes in the Scottish Open: 10th, 2nd, 30th and 43rd. He loves this event and has played well here since 2019. He has 8 top-25 finishes in 21 starts this season, so he’s performing relatively well on the PGA Tour, too.
Kurt Kitayama (+8000)
Buy low on Kitayama this week. He’s missed the cut in each of his last 3 starts, but he now gets to play the Scottish Open where he finished 2nd last year and 43rd in 2019. This is the time to take a shot on him, even if it’s just for a top-20 finish.
Robert McIntyre (+10000)
McIntyre missed the cut here in 2019 and 2022, but in between those two early exits, he finished 18th and 14th. He just tied for 4th in his last DP World Tour start and has only missed the cut once in his last 5 starts since June. His odds should probably be shorter than they are.
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