2023 Cleveland Browns Super Bowl odds with conference, division and win total best bets

The 2023 Cleveland Browns look to rebound after a shaky 2022 season which found them in the basement of the AFC North Division when the dust settled. The team opened up the checkbook to bolster the defense, adding DE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, S Juan Thornhill, DT Dalvin Tomlinson and DE Za’Darius White, moves which have received some nice reviews from the talking heads.

The Browns were in last place last season, but it was a season which saw QB Deshaun Watson suspended for 11 games due to off-field transgressions. His suspension is in the rear-view mirror, and he’ll start his first full season under center, hopefully without any additional distractions. The team also added help on offense, nabbing veteran WRs Marquise Goodwin and Elijah Moore to aid Watson.

Below, we look at the Cleveland Browns’ 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds from BetMGM Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.

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2023 Cleveland Browns schedule

WK	DATE	OPPONENT	TIME
All times ET
1	Sept. 10	vs. Bengals	1 p.m.
2	Sept. 18 (M)	at Steelers	8:15 p.m.
3	Sept. 24	vs. Titans	1 p.m.
4	Oct. 1	vs. Ravens	1 p.m.
5		BYE WEEK
6	Oct. 15	vs. 49ers	1 p.m.
7	Oct. 22	at Colts	1 p.m.
8	Oct. 29	at Seahawks	4:05 p.m.
9	Nov. 5	vs. Cardinals	1 p.m.
10	Nov. 12	at Ravens	1 p.m.
11	Nov. 19	vs. Steelers	1 p.m.
12	Nov. 26	at Broncos	4:05 p.m.
13	Dec. 3	at Rams	4:25 p.m.
14	Dec. 10	vs. Jaguars	1 p.m.
15	Dec. 16 or 17	vs. Bears	TBD
16	Dec. 24	at Texans	1 p.m.
17	Dec. 28 (Th)	vs. Jets	8:15 p.m.
18	Jan. 6 or 7	at Bengals	TBD

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Browns over/under win total

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 13 at 5:07 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

9.5 wins: (Over: +110 | Under: -134)

The Browns have a pretty favorable schedule, playing 4 of the first 5 games at home. We’ll know pretty quickly, perhaps even before the leaves start to change on the trees, whether this total is headed Over or Under.

I think this will be a rather mid team, although the defensive additions have really been attractive this offseason. For a team which used a chunk of draft picks for last season’s addition of Watson, it made some wise decisions to add on D, keeping pace with the rest of the division in that respect.

The offense should be good, but I think this team goes .500 against the division at best. Facing the NFC West is tough, and the road schedule from late October through early December is going to be treacherous.

In addition, in previous seasons, seeing the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets dotting the schedule would be instant wins, but those games are no joke, either. The schedule is difficult for the Browns, and they’d do well just to finish 9-8, a 2-game improvement over 2022. However, that is still an Under result, and that’s your best bet until the Browns stop Browns-ing for a whole season.

Browns Super Bowl odds

+2800 (bet $100 to win $2,800)

Cleveland has the 3rd-shortest odds in the AFC North, behind the Cincinnati Bengals (+1000) and Baltimore Ravens (+1800). But the Browns have just the 9th-shortest odds among AFC teams to win it all, with the Kansas City Chiefs (+600) the overall favorite in the NFL.

At +2800, Cleveland has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of 3.45% or 28/1 fractional odds.

The Arizona Cardinals and Houston Texans have the longest odds at +18000.

Backing the BROWNS (+2800) to win the Super Bowl for a 28-to-1 payoff isn’t worth the paper a ticket would be printed on. Cleveland has never been to the big game, and while it could potentially have a championship-caliber roster, the offense is still lacking a little.

Will the Browns make the playoffs?

Yes -110 | No -110

The AFC North Division is going to be wild. Watson looked a little rusty under center after his long layoff, but after a full offseason jelling with his teammates, new and old, there should be a lot more continuity on offense right from the jump.

The schedule begins with 3 divisional games in the first 4 outings, so it’s imperative Cleveland gets off to a good start. But will they?

I really like the defensive additions, but facing the likes of Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow and Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson in the first 4 weekends is a tough task for any team. I also don’t like where the bye falls for the Browns, as generally it’s good to see a bye in November when a team really could use the time to regroup. Cleveland’s bye is rather early, and could derail it should the Browns get off to a hot start.

I think there is a possibility a 9-8 sneaks into the postseason. The Jaguars won the AFC South with a 9-8 record, and the Miami Dolphins qualified for a wild card with the same record. That’s how many wins I see for this team. I’d roll the dice on the Browns making the playoffs, but I wouldn’t risk much.

Odds to win AFC North Division

Bengals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Ravens +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Browns +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Steelers +650 (bet $100 to win $650)

Cleveland’s implied probability of winning the AFC North is 22.22% or 7/2 fractional odds. I’m not seeing the Browns challenging the favorite Bengals for all of the AFC North marbles, although I think Cleveland certainly has the horses on offense to be on the same level as Baltimore.

For a chance to multiply your initial wager by 3 1/2 times, I don’t hate this bet. But I also don’t like tying up a chunk of lettuce for several months just to take a flier. The conviction isn’t strong here, so I’d prefer to PASS. The Bengals are the team to beat in the North.

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Browns odds to win AFC

+1700 (bet $100 to win $1,700)

I barely see the Browns qualifying for the playoffs as a Wild-Card entrant. If Cleveland does claim 1 of the 7 AFC postseason spots, it isn’t likely to stick around in the tournament very long.

Again, we have had 56 Super Bowls played in NFL history, and the Browns have not been part of any of those big games. With a team expected to hover around .500 most of the season, the drought isn’t likely to be snapped in 2023. AVOID.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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