The Buffalo Bills finished the regular season 13-3 last year with an AFC East title. After beating Miami in the Wild-Card game, the Bills lost at home in the Divisional Round to the Cincinnati Bengals.
After an offseason in which the Bills lost RB Devin Singletary and LB Tremaine Edmunds and added S Taylor Rapp and RB Damien Harris, the team will return much the same from the team fielded in 2022.
After drafting TE Dalton Kincaid in the 1st round of the NFL Draft and OL O’Cyrus Torrence in the 2nd round, the Bills will look to use returning TE Dawson Knox as a blocking tight end so Kincaid can slide in as the pass catcher of the group. He showed ability in 1 season at Utah, which included a 16-catch, 234-yard game in a 43-42 win against USC.
Below, we look at the Buffalo Bills’ 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
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2023 Buffalo Bills schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET; *–At London | |||
| 1 | Sept. 11 (M) | at Jets | 8:15 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 17 | vs. Raiders | 1 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 24 | at Commanders | 1 p.m. |
| 4 | Oct. 1 | vs. Dolphins | 1 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 8 | vs. Jaguars-* | 9:30 a.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 15 | vs. Giants | 8:20 p.m. |
| 7 | Oct. 22 | at Patriots | 1 p.m. |
| 8 | Oct. 26 (Th) | vs. Buccaneers | 8:15 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 5 | at Bengals | 8:20 p.m. |
| 10 | Nov. 13 (M) | vs. Broncos | 8:15 p.m. |
| 11 | Nov. 19 | vs. Jets | 4:25 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 26 | at Eagles | 4:25 p.m. |
| 13 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 14 | Dec. 10 | at Chiefs | 4:25 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 17 | vs. Cowboys | 4:25 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 23 (Sa) | at Chargers | 8 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 31 | vs. Patriots | 1 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 6 or 7 | at Dolphins | TBD |
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Bills over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 15 at 11:38 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 10.5 wins: (Over: -128 | Under: +102)
This number has come down a full win since last season. This is due to the Jets being a huge public team after the addition of QB Aaron Rodgers and the feeling that the Miami Dolphins are set to move up in the division. But those are fools’ gold, and the Bills are still the best team in the division.
A cross-conference schedule which has the AFC East facing the NFC East will make this schedule a bit difficult, but not difficult enough for the Bills to fall below 11 wins. Even with a canceled game last season, the Bills were able to get to 13 wins. With an extra game this season, 11 will not be a problem if QB Josh Allen is healthy.
TAKE OVER 10.5 WINS (-128).
Bills Super Bowl odds
- +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
Last season’s Super Bowl participants, the Kansas City Chiefs (+600) and the Philadelphia Eagles (+850), are the only 2 teams with lower odds than the Bills to win Super Bowl LVIII.
Taking a team this high in the odds can be a bit tricky. It gives you a better chance to win, but it doesn’t pay out the large amount some crave.
It is extremely difficult to repeat as Super Bowl champion. It is even harder to get back to the Super Bowl after losing the previous year. With this said, the Bills might just be the best favorite to wager on to win.
While the past 2 seasons have been heartbreaking, Allen is still at the top of his game, a top-3 QB in the league. His leadership showed through last season during a trying season, one which included Allen fighting through injury to push his team forward to a 13-3 record.
Coming back fully healthy and with draft choice Torrence set to block in front of him, Buffalo has a wonderful chance to get to their desired goal in winning it all.
A small bet at +900 is a good play here.
Will the Bills make the playoffs?
- Yes -245 | No +194
PASS.
While Yes (-245) should be a sure-fire bet, the price is not good financial sense. Instead of wasting money on the -245 juice, there are other wagers on the Bills which offer more value.
Odds to win AFC East Division
- Bills +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Jets +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
- Dolphins +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
- Patriots +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
While the Bills are the favorites in the AFC East, you can still get them at +130. This makes solid value on a team which should be closer to -150 to win the division.
If the hype around the Jets stays at this level, you will be able to get the Bills at terrific value and taking them here, at +130, is solid.
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Bills odds to win AFC
- +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
In the past 2 seasons, the Bills have been agonizingly close to making it to the Super Bowl.
Losing in the Divisional Game against Kansas City in the epic showdown with QB Patrick Mahomes in 2021 followed by a loss in the same round in 2022 to the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bills are running out of chances.
WR Stefon Diggs is getting older and is growing frustrated. The team has signed Harris to hopefully help RB James Cook take some running pressure off Allen. If the duo can supply a run game and rookie Kincaid can provide an added receiving weapon at tight end, this could be the season the Bills to finally make it through the AFC gauntlet.
The +450 odds are a bit low and does not offer excellent value, but it’s still a wager worth making a small play on.
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