The field has been trimmed to the top 50 players in the FedExCup Playoffs following the FedEx St. Jude Championship, which was won by Lucas Glover – his 2nd straight victory this month. Up next is the 2023 BMW Championship from Olympia Fields in Illinois.
Below, we look at the 2023 BMW Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Rory McIlroy comes into the week as the betting favorite (+750) after his 3rd-place finish last week, but Scottie Scheffler isn’t far behind (+800). Two-time defending champion Patrick Cantlay is at +1000 to win this event for the 3rd year in a row, all at different courses.
Olympia Fields is hosting the BMW Championship for the 2nd time. In 2020, Jon Rahm beat Dustin Johnson in a playoff. The winning score that week was 4-under 276 and only 5 players finished under par for the tournament. It’s a major championship-level course so players will be tested by this bunker-covered track.
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BMW Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:57 p.m. ET.
Jon Rahm (+1000)
Rahm put himself behind the 8 ball last week when he shot 73 on Thursday, making it incredibly difficult for him to contend. He finished by shooting rounds of 67, 67 and 68 to tie for 37th. He comes to Olympia Fields, where he won in 2020 and it’s exactly the type of course he should excel on with its challenging conditions.
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Morikawa finished T-13 last week in Memphis, which was helped by an opening round of 65. He finished 20th here in 2020, bouncing back after a 1st-round 76 by shooting 68 in the final 2 rounds. With narrow fairways and difficult greens to hit, Morikawa should have an edge.
Russell Henley (+2800)
Henley is red hot, finishing 2nd and 6th in his last 2 starts. He probably should’ve won the Wyndham Championship 2 weeks ago, too, if not for a couple of late bad breaks on Sunday. He’s the most accurate driver on tour and a great ball striker, which is why I like him to keep the hot streak going this week.
BMW Championship picks – Contenders
Brian Harman (+4500)
Harman disappointed a bit in his 1st start since the Open, finishing T-31 last week in Memphis, but I’m still buying stock in the lefty. He finished T-12 here in 2020 and has 4 top-12 finishes in his last 5 starts dating back to June. Don’t fade him yet.
Cam Davis (+5500)
Davis didn’t play here in 2020 but he’s been in about as good of form as anyone the last month and a half. He has 3 straight top-10 finishes, including a T-6 at the 1st playoff event, and also came in 17th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in July. His only slip-up was a missed cut at the Scottish Open.
BMW Championship picks – Long shots
Emiliano Grillo (+6600)
Grillo has 4 top-20 finishes in his last 5 starts, with the best in that stretch being a 6th-place finish at the Open Championship. He’s got a well-rounded game with no real weaknesses at the moment, ranking 52nd in strokes gained: total.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- These two instructors helped Patrick Cantlay become one of the best on the PGA Tour
- Lucas Glover goes back-to-back with playoff win at 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
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