The NASCAR Cup Series is at Las Vegas Motor Speedway Road Course Sunday for the 2022 South Point 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 2:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the 2022 South Point 400 odds, with NASCAR picks and predictions.
2022 South Point 400: What you need to know
- This is the 1st of 3 races in the Round of 8 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs; currently 8 drivers remain alive for the championship after Sunday
- Joey Logano leads all active drivers with an 8.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 18 career Cup starts at LVMS
- Kevin Harvick, a 2-time winner in Vegas, leads all drivers with 679 laps led in his 26 career Cup starts at the track
- Kyle Larson, eliminated from the playoffs last weekend, is 2nd to Logano with a 9.2 AFP in Las Vegas, with 1 win, 5 top-5 finishes and 9 top-10 runs in 12 career starts
- Las Vegas native Kurt Busch has struggled at his hometown track, posting just 1 win and 3 top-5 finishes in 25 career Cup starts with a dismal 20.6 AFP
- Kyle Busch, also a Vegas native, has fared better than his older brother at LVMS, winning 1 race, while posting 10 top-5 runs in 22 career Cup starts with an 11.2 AFP
- TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, sitting 6 points above the cutoff line, has a terrible 23.6 AFP in 8 career Cup starts at LVMS
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2022 South Point 400 – Expert picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:46 p.m. ET.
JOEY LOGANO (+1000) is a value play, as he has performed well at this track, and doesn’t enter this race with as much pressure as some of the other playoff competitors. He is well above the cut line, and should position himself even better with a potential win to get him into NASCAR’s Final Four.
RYAN BLANEY (+700) has shorter odds than the better play above, and this is a track which suits him well, too. He is just below the cut line, so he has a little more pressure to perform. While the Ohio native has never won in Las Vegas, he has done well in the past, ranking 4th among all active drivers with an 11.1 AFP. Look for Blaney to be racing for checkers in the end.
2022 South Point 400 – Long shot
CHASE BRISCOE (+3000) is still technically alive for a championship, as he qualified for the Round of 8. However, he needs to catch fire — quickly.
Las Vegas hasn’t been one of his better tracks, but his team will do everything in its power to keep him alive. In 3 career Cup starts at LVMS, Briscoe has finished 14th, 21st and 35th with 1 DNF, which doesn’t exactly have potential bettors brimming with confidence. However, he has plenty of incentive to race hard, and try to get to the front, so he is worth a roll of the dice.
2022 South Point 400 prop picks
CHASE BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+125)
Briscoe at plus-money for a top-10 finish still carries plenty of risk. Again, this hasn’t been one of his better tracks during his fledgling Cup career. However, he is still alive for a championship, and he needs a good run. Briscoe will either end up inside the top-10 with a positive run, or he will flame out and be done before the Round of 8 really even gets going.
FORD – MANUFACTURER WINNER (+200)
With Blaney and Logano as my 2 picks to win outright, let’s roll with Ford to get the job done at Las Vegas. For a chance to double up, it’s a no-brainer.
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