2022 QBE Shootout prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 QBE Shootout with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The last event on the 2022 calendar is the QBE Shootout in Naples, Fla., which is once again being played at Tiburon Golf Club. It’s a 12-team event across 3 rounds, with pairings competing in 4-ball, scramble and modified alternate shot formats.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 QBE Shootout odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The tournament begins on Friday with a scramble, followed by modified alternate shot Saturday and 4-ball on Sunday. Among the big names in field are the pairings of Jason Day and Billy Horschel, Max Homa and Kevin Kisner, Sahith Theegala and Tom Hoge, and Cameron Young and Steve Stricker. Two LPGA stars are also playing for the first time: Nelly Korda (with Denny McCarthy) and Lexi Thompson (with Maverick McNeely).

Tiburon Golf Club’s Gold Course, which will be played this week, is a par 72 and 7,382 yards long for players this week. It was designed by Greg Norman and features four par 5s and four par 3s.

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QBE Shootout – Matchups

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:01 p.m. ET.

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Day/Horschel (-120) vs. Hoge/Theegala (+110)

Theegala is making his debut in this event, having very little experience in team formats. Day and Horschel have both teed it up here before, so that gives them an edge – and they’re the betting favorites (+500) to win the whole thing. I like their chances to finish higher on the leaderboard than Hoge and Theegala.

Stricker/Young (+100) vs. Keith Mitchell/J.J. Spaun (-110)

Young and Stricker are an interesting pairing between a young bomber and a veteran from the Champions Tour. Young’s length will be an advantage in the scramble and alternate shot formats, but the 4-ball round could be challenging for this pairing. I still like them to edge out Mitchell and Spaun.

Homa/Kisner (+100) vs. Harris English/Matt Kuchar (-110)

Homa and Kisner can both be deadly putters and though they’re not the longest hitters on tour, this 3-format tournament fits their games well. Scrambles often come down to putting and they shouldn’t get each other into too much trouble during the alternate shot round because they’re both accurate off the tee.

QBE Shootout – First-round leader

Max Homa/Kevin Kisner (+750)

The 1st round is a scramble, so I’m betting on the putting of Homa and Kisner. They can’t overpower the course like some other teams can, but they’re going to make putts for birdie. I could see them going low on Friday.

Trey Mullinax/Scott Stallings (+750)

Let’s go with Mullinax, who hits it a mile, and Stallings, who’s historically been an above-average ball striker. It only takes 1 good round in a scramble format for this bet to cash.

QBE Shootout – Group A winner

Jason Day/Billy Horschel (+280)

It’s a chalky pick, but I’ll go with Day and Horschel against English/Kuchar (+320), Harman/Straka (+330), Hoge/Theegala (+380) and Homa/Kisner (+400). I don’t love betting a group winner in this tournament because there are only 12 competitors in the entire field, but this bet basically cuts the field in half to exclude any long shots.

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