On July 2 last season, the Boston Red Sox won their eighth consecutive game and were 4½ games up in the American League East Division and playing .627 baseball (52-31). Though the Red Sox would scuffle a bit in July and August, they made the postseason as a 92-win wild card team. Boston advanced to the AL Championship Series, losing to the Houston Astros.
Bolstered by a payroll of projected payroll of $218M, a solid roster returns and Boston should again be in the mix to contend in the AL East. Below, we look at the Boston Red Sox MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.
Boston Red Sox 2022 World Series odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 28 at 12:18 p.m. ET.
Odds: +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
Boston has the 10th-shortest odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+480) are the favorites, followed by the Houston Astros (+900) and Toronto Blue Jays (+900). At +1500, Boston has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 6.25% or 15/1 fractional odds.
New on the roster this year are 2B Trevor Story. RHP Michael Wacha, LHP Rich Hill, and LHP James Paxton. Gone are LHP Eduardo Rodriguez, OF Hunter Renfroe, and RHP Adam Ottavino.
At 5.1 runs per game and 4.6 runs allowed, the 2021 Red Sox were perhaps a few games too far out over their skis with 92 wins last season. As currently constructed, Boston is a shadow of the elite defensive club it was three or four seasons ago. Add in some depth and overall talent questions for a starting rotation that logged a 4.51 ERA in the second half, and the 15-to-1 return comes up a bit short of providing value. PASS.
[tipico]
Boston Red Sox 2022 playoff odds
Will the Red Sox make the playoffs: Yes -120 | No +100
AVOIDING this play makes the most sense, but the lean is on No. If the price gets a tad more attractive, the fade — or No bet — has some leverage here.
Boston Red Sox 2022 win total
Over/Under: 85.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
The slight step back from last year and the competitiveness of the AL East (four clubs with AL champion odds of 9-to-1 or better) make for a projected total right around 85.
TAKE THE UNDER 85.5 (-105), but consider waiting out a better price.
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Odds to win AL East Division
- Toronto Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- New York Yankees +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
- Tampa Bay Rays +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Boston Red Sox +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
- Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)
PASS. But, even though Boston projects as an also-ran, there is enough wiggle room and the division figures to be tight enough that a tag around +500 or +510 gets this proposition into interesting territory.
Odds to win American League
Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
Boston is outside the top group of contenders here, which amounts to their East rivals (Yankees, Blue Jays, Rays) plus the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox. Other second-tier options look better: PASS.
The preseason look for the Sox amounts to a fade all-around. Though, there is some wavering on the payout for the East flag, just because of the chaos that may well be at play in a four-horse race.
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