The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Kansas Speedway Sunday for the Hollywood Casino 400. The green flag is set to drop at approximately 3:05 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.
The NASCAR Cup Series will have the penultimate race before the final field of four drivers is determined for the championship race at Phoenix Nov. 7.
2021 Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know
- Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch earned the victory at the Buschy McBusch Race 400 at Kansas May 2, holding off Kevin Harvick by 0.336 seconds.
- We haven’t had a Chevrolet win at Kansas since Oct. 21, 2018, when Chase Elliott took checkers. Chevy has won just once in the past nine Kansas Cup starts, too.
- Harvick, JGR’s Denny Hamlin and Penske Racing’s Joey Logano each have claimed three checkered flags at Kansas to lead all active drivers.
- Penske’s Brad Keselowski has registered two victories with an 11.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP), finishing 13 times in the Top 10 in 23 Cup starts at Kansas.
- Kyle Larson is on the pole for Sunday’s race. He has never won in 13 career Cup starts at Kansas while posting a mediocre 16.62 AFP.
Who is going to win the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400?
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:45 a.m. ET.
KYLE LARSON (+220) has won back-to-back races at the ROVAL in Charlotte, and last weekend in Texas. He was a very average 19th in May at the first Kansas race, but it has proven be a very unwise decision not to include him lately. He has four wins over his past 11 Cup Series starts.
KYLE BUSCH (+750) is solid play as he looks for the Cup Series sweep at Kansas this week. He has a pair of victories with nine top-5 showings and 13 top-10 results in 27 career starts, posting a 15.2 AFP. KYLE BUSCH TOP 5 FINISH (-130) is a value play at this price level, too. He’ll start fourth.
JGR’s MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+1000) has some longer odds, but he is worth a look. MTJ has managed two victories at Kansas in 26 career Cup starts, posting a 12.96 AFP. That’s fourth-best among all active drivers, posting nine top-5 showings with 13 top-10 finishes. Truex goes off seventh on Sunday.
Penske’s RYAN BLANEY (+1000) starts on the outside of Row 1 next to the pole sitter Larson. While he has never had a win in Kansas in the Cup Series, Blaney has posted a strong 15.77 AFP with six finishes inside the Top 10 in 13 career starts. BLANEY TOP 5 FINISH (+115) is worth a shot at plus-money, too.
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Long-shot bets for the 2021 Hollywood Casino 400
If you’re looking for a good long-shot bet, look no further than TYLER REDDICK (+3000). In four career Cup starts, he has an impressive 13.5 AFP, including a seventh-place showing back in May at this track. That’s fifth-best among all active drivers in AFP at Kansas.
Better yet, REDDICK TOP 10 FINISH (-160) is worth a play at this price level.
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