The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 NASCAR odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.
2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick raced to a checkered flag in Atlanta June 7, edging out Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. Harvick led 151 of the 325 laps, with MTJ second in that category with 65 laps led.
- Harvick has registered three wins and nine top-5 finishes in his 30 career Cup starts at the venerable track. Half of his 30 starts have resulted in finishes of 10th or better, and he leads all active drivers with 1,348 laps led. The next best is Kurt Busch at 803.
- JGR’s Denny Hamlin is on the pole for Sunday’s race. He has just one win in his 21 Cup starts while only eight of his runs have resulted in a finish of 10th or better. His 17.33 Average-Finish Position (AFP) is 12th-best among active drivers with at least five Cup starts at the track.
- Kyle Larson is back after a one-year hiatus from the circuit due to an off-track issue. While he has never won in six Cup starts in Atlanta, he is second to only Georgia native Chase Elliott with a 13.83 AFP. Three of his six starts have resulted in a top-10 run or better.
- Speaking of Elliott, the Dawsonville, Ga., native has also never won at Atlanta, but he has four top-10 finishes in five career starts and he has never finished worse than 19th while leading 26 laps with a 10.0 AFP.
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Who is going to win the 2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500?
HARVICK (+550) is the chalk, and rightly so. He’ll be out front frequently, and he will be searching for his third win in his last four Atlanta starts. He has also finished ninth or better in each of his past six Cup starts at the track.
A Ford has been to Victory Lane in four straight Atlanta races. Harvick has won twice in the past three runs, and Penske Racing’s BRAD KESELOWSKI (+700) also has two wins in the past four Cup races at the track.
Keselowski has just 12 Cup starts in Atlanta over the years, but he has the two trips to Victory Lane, four top-5 runs and eight top-10 showings with 135 laps led and a stellar 14.6 AFP in his runs.
Teammate JOEY LOGANO (+900) is also worth a look. While the latter has never won in Atlanta, he has 195 laps led in 14 Cup runs with a pair of top-5 showings and a 16.6 AFP. Logano was 10th last season in Atlanta, and he has been 12th or better in six of his past eight appearances at the track after some uneven performances earlier in this career.
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2021 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 long-shot bet
TYLER REDDICK (+8000) made his first-career Cup start in Atlanta last season and finished a respectable 16th in his first go-around. Reddick started 24th in that race and will go off 29th Sunday. While I’d only go lightly on him for a straight-up win, he is a value at +210 FOR A TOP 10 FINISH.
And while he isn’t a true long-shot bet, his odds are rather moderate. KURT BUSCH (+2500) is a great value at this price. Not only is he tied with Harvick with three-career wins at this track, he was a solid sixth last season in Atlanta. Playing him straight-up for the win is fine, but I also like KURT BUSCH (+333) for a Top 5.
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