The NASCAR Cup Series is at Dover International Speedway for the Drydene 400 Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Drydene 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.
2021 Drydene 400: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.
Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick won the back end of a weekend doubleheader last August, while Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin took the Saturday race.
- Hamlin’s win was actually his first in 30 career starts at Dover as he has a mediocre 16.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with just six top-5 runs and 13 top-10 showings with four DNFs.
- Harvick has fared much better over the years at the Monster Mile, going for three wins, 10 top-5 finishes and 21 top-10s with 1,631 laps led in 40 Cup starts. That’s good for a 13.2 AFP.
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a sparkling 7.4 AFP in 12 career Cup starts at DIS, including nine finishes of 10th or better with 617 laps led.
- None of the car models has a distinct advantage on the concrete oval in Delaware. Ford, Toyota and Chevrolet each have wins in the past three Dover starts, and each manufacturer has two checkered flags across the past six races at the track.
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Who is going to win the 2021 Drydene 400?
MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+350) is the chalk at Dover. This has always been the New Jersey native’s unofficial “home’ track” as DIS holds a special place in his heart since he won his first Cup Series race in June of 2007 here.
TRUEX JR. (-105) is also a good play at near even-money for a TOP-3 FINISH.
Hendrick’s CHASE ELLIOTT (+700) is a good value at this price. He doesn’t have as long of a history as some of the other drivers at this track, but he has been phenomenal here. Elliott has 10 Cup starts at Dover with one win and all but three finishes outside of the Top 5, with two of those a DNF.
ELLIOTT (+100) is also a value play at even money for a TOP-5 FINISH.
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2021 Drydene 400 long-shot bets
COLE CUSTER (+12500) is a driver to remember at Dover as he looks to claim his second career Cup series win. That’s likely not going to happen, but he has finished 10th or 11th in his two previous Cup starts at the track, so he is a value for a top-10 pick.
Take a chance on Custer for a TOP-10 FINISH (+350) for a chance to more than triple up.
ERIK JONES FOR A TOP-10 FINISH (+425) is also worth a small-unit play. He has eight Cup starts under his belt with a 13.0 AFP, posting two top-10 runs while finishing 20th or better on seven occasions. He has never finished lower than 22nd in his Cup career at the Monster Mile.
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