7. LSU at Ole Miss
LINE Point Total 76
ATS PICK Under
Of course Lane Kiffin is sandbagging a bit when it comes to the health of star QB Matt Corral … I think. At the very least, No. 2 isn’t 100% and almost certainly won’t run the ball 30 times like he did against Tennessee.
LSU got into a wild 49-42 shootout last week against Florida, and the Ole Miss 52-51 thriller over Arkansas from a few weeks ago is still fresh, but the SEC is still the SEC. For all the high-powered offensive fun, there are still NFL guys on the defensive side.
The belief system would like the point total to get up to 78ish or so, but the under on 76 is still a shot worth taking considering both of these teams are banged up.
– Week 8 Schedule, Game Times, Game Previews
6. NC State at Miami
LINE NC State -3.5
ATS PICK NC State
This is about the core belief that Miami just isn’t very good at college football this season – at least after seeing it play Alabama.
Yeah, yeah, the Tide make everyone look awful, but the thought was that the win wasn’t that big a Bama-is-still-as-strong-as-2020 deal because the Canes just didn’t have the guys. Now they don’t have their quarterback.
Not having D’Eriq King isn’t the killer it seemed like it should’ve been – the O is still scoring with Tyler Van Dyke – but this team just doesn’t know how to close and the defense is shockingly mediocre.
There’s a halfway decent pass rush, but the big plays and takeaways aren’t there, and the inability to come through late has been a problem.
NC State is probably going to win the ACC title.
It’s playing better and with more confidence after beating Clemson, it was able to blast past Boston College 33-7 last week, and the 3.5 isn’t a lot to give away.
Granted, Miami lost the last two games by a total of five points, but the Wolfpack D will be much, much better than Virginia’s and North Carolina’s were.