4. Texas Tech at Iowa State
LINE: Iowa State -13
ATS PICK: Texas Tech
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
The line is at 13 because Red Raider QB Alan Bowman is iffy – at best – with an ankle injury, but this offense can still run just fine with Henry Colombi, a Utah State transfer who knows the Mike Wells system.
He stepped in for Bowman last week in the loss to Kansas State and threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns while adding a bit of a rushing element to the mix.
You’re getting a big number here because the public watched the 37-30 win over Oklahoma, but the line will go down by game time, and it’ll get to around ten if Bowman is playing.
Yeah, yeah, it’s easy to be freaked out by the 35-33 close call against Houston Baptist, and losing by ten at Kansas State wasn’t fun, but under Wells, Texas Tech lost to Texas last year by 25 and got rocked by Oklahoma – those were the only two times it got dropped by more than 13.
Iowa State hasn’t beaten anyone by two touchdowns in its last 13 games.
Speaking of inflated Big 12 lines because of quarterback concerns …