5. Hawaii at San Diego State
LINE: San Diego State -10
ATS PICK: San Diego State
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The double-digit line for a San Diego State team that’s not going to score all that often might seem like a lot, but if the defense does what it’s supposed to do, that won’t be a problem.
The loss to San Jose State was weird.
The Aztecs allowed fewer than 300 yards of Spartan offense, and it dominated in so many ways, but the offense turned it over three times and they all became a problem.
SDSU’s D is just that good, the offense that came up with a season-high 261 passing yards should be able to do enough to keep things moving, and Hawaii has to be physical after way too much early travel.
Three of the final four Rainbow Warrior games are in Honolulu, but over the last four weeks the team had to go to Fresno, then go to Laramie, Wyoming, then go back home to play New Mexico, and now have to go to San Diego.
San Diego State hasn’t had to move too much. More than that, Hawaii isn’t going to do the offensive things it’ll need to.
It ran well against Fresno State, but that’s not happening this week. It threw well against New Mexico, but that’s not happening this week. It came up with a grand total of 233 yards of total offense against Wyoming, and it lost 31-7.