2. New Mexico State at San Diego State
LINE San Diego State -31
ATS PICK San Diego State
It goes against everything we all know and believe to think San Diego State could and should beat a team by more than 31 points.
It destroyed a miserable Utah State team last season – by 31.
It rolled a horrible UNLV that still hasn’t won a game yet under new head coach Marcus Arroyo – by 28.
It was brilliant against Hawaii in a 24-point win last year, and it hammered a punchless New Mexico State team in 2019 by 21.
San Diego State’s style just doesn’t lead to blowouts. The offense grinds it out, the defense is brilliant, repeat – if possible.
The Aztecs have only scores more than 31 points four times in the last three seasons, and a 48-11 New Mexico Bowl win over Central Michigan in 2019 was the only time they beat a team by more since the middle of 2017.
But that’s how bad New Mexico State is.
The Aggies couldn’t get any offense going in a 30-3 home loss to UTEP to start the season. You and ten people in line at Starbucks could hang more than three on UTEP, who came up with one of its most dominant wins in a decade despite not playing all that well.
Break something tasteful if the San Diego State defense allows more than 150 yards of total New Mexico State offense, and just assume that somehow and in some way the offense will fall into a 40-point performance.
Speaking of not scoring …